Furlough Estimates

mastermags said:
And yet somehow XJT (and especially ASA) is still around having been this way the last 15
years so who knows.
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Not to quite the same degree as now but your point is noted. I thought we were done for back when the Chatauqua situation dropped 69 planes....we survived and did pretty well afterwards...
 
12 per.

So 360-480 pilots will no longer be needed, with training churn.

I have no idea what this means for actual furlough numbers other than hundreds will be.


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BEEF SUPREME said:
12 per.

So 360-480 pilots will no longer be needed, with training churn.

I have no idea what this means for actual furlough numbers other than hundreds will be.


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And is 2888 still accurate number of pilots? (APC says). So around 15% shrinkage? Is that right?
 
In all likeliness Buses be goin:


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United announced an additional 1,591 displacements today. Meanwhile, AA’s stock is up over 40% on announcement that AA is adding back domestic capacity in July (roughly 55% YOY).
 
zVo said:
United announced an additional 1,591 displacements today. Meanwhile, AA’s stock is up over 40% on announcement that AA is adding back domestic capacity in July (roughly 55% YOY).
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So 6,000 displacements? Am I getting that right.
 
BEEF SUPREME said:
Mitigation is required by the contract. It will probably be Kirkland Signature mitigation though.


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Agree wholeheartedly. They’ll put together basically a slap in the face and there will be few, if any takers.

Bid has officially been canceled, reduction (furlough) bid coming out in a few days. At least we’ll all know where we stand, I was getting tired of waiting.
 
RMCBear08 said:
Agree wholeheartedly. They’ll put together basically a slap in the face and there will be few, if any takers.

Bid has officially been canceled, reduction (furlough) bid coming out in a few days. At least we’ll all know where we stand, I was getting tired of waiting.
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Any idea why JL said it will be “smaller”?


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BEEF SUPREME said:
So it could affect more pilots but be fewer training events? Axe a large group of pilots and clean up the bottom of the remaining list?


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Could be.

Or maybe he meant “smaller” as in fewer positions available to bid for, leaving those of us juniors without a seat at the end (UNA in Delta speak). I really don’t know.

Simplest terms: They’re building a smaller machine which will require fewer cogs in it. How many less cogs? We’ll see in a few days.

At any rate, I wouldn’t waste too much brainpower on it. The number will be the number and there isn’t jack you or I or anybody else can do about it. Planning for the worst come October 1st is about the best we can all do at this point.
 
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