Article: Regionals thrive while Majors cut back!

CRJDriver

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Regional airlines thrive while the big boys cut back
By David Grossman, special for USA TODAY

"You're lucky you're flying today," said the gate agent as I boarded my flight while they were closing the door. "Next month this will be an express flight," meaning that the 130-seat airplane will be replaced by a much smaller regional jet with little more than half the seating capacity of the bigger jet. Instead of a large airplane with 30 or so empty seats that day, if we fast forward to the next month, the replacement aircraft would be flying full and 30 passengers would be left behind.

At airports across the country and throughout the world, this scenario is playing out over and over again as the recession takes its toll on the airline industry. In survival mode, the major network airlines are cutting capacity by grounding their 100- to 150-seat narrow-body airplanes and, in many cases, replacing them with 50- to 70-seat regional jets or turboprops flown by regional airline affiliates.

While the recession has devastated the balance sheets of most big network airlines, smaller regional airlines everywhere are often finding new opportunities as their airplanes are pressed into service on routes formerly flown by the big guys with the big jets.

As network airlines are shrinking, regional airlines have grown by at least 10% over the past decade according to the Regional Airline Association. Today, regional jets carry one in four domestic passengers and account for more than half of all U.S. departures. Regional carriers serve nearly every U.S. airport with scheduled commercial airline service and provide the only means of scheduled air transportation to 442 communities or approximately 70% of all U.S. airports with scheduled service.

In many cases flying regional jets is the only way to make money on routes where travel demand is down. While the five U.S. network airlines (Delta and Northwest now combined) posted a $4.4 billion operating loss over the past 12 months, the top 20 regional airlines collectively turned a $785 million profit with only one major regional carrier in the red (see accompanying chart).

Although matching the supply of seats more closely to actual demand often favors regional aircraft, the regional airline business model also accounts for some of the success of these smaller airlines. Some regional airlines are wholly owned subsidiaries of network airlines while others are independent companies flying for multiple network airlines. In either case, most regional jet operators are compensated based on the quantity of seats provided or the number of hours flown. That puts the risk squarely upon their customers – the network airlines — as those regional operators get paid whether their seats fly full or empty.

Beyond guaranteed revenue, regional airlines have lower operating costs than their mainline partners as the network airlines generally cover the reservations, ticketing, ground handling, marketing and many other services required by their regional airline partners. All regional airlines need do is maintain their fleets, provide airplanes to their network airline partners on request, and fly wherever they are told to go.

The ever-expanding regional jet
As regional airlines expand, so do the airplanes they fly. The first regional jets generally held less than 40 passengers, but aircraft seating capacity is on the rise. Most new regional jets hold 50, 70, 90 or even 100 passengers.

As regional jets are stretched, their utility grows as replacement aircraft for narrow-body jets on many routes, such as Delta Airlines' Northeast Shuttle operation where 76-seat Embraer regional jets have replaced many 140- to 150-seat B737 and MD80 aircraft formerly flying those routes. Downsizing to regional jets to accommodate declining travel demand allows the network airlines to maintain their frequencies while lowering costs.

As regional airlines grow, some are entering new businesses or starting ventures in uncharted territory. Phoenix-based Mesa Airlines, which flies for Delta, United and US Airways, launched "go!", a regional, low cost airline in Hawaii, which may have been at least partially responsible for the demise of Aloha Airlines. Additionally, Mesa exported its regional airline management expertise to the booming Chinese air travel market with the launch of Kunpeng Airlines, a joint venture between Mesa and Shenzhen Airlines.

Flying into the future
While regional airlines are the apparent benefactors of the economic downturn, there is still uncertainty about their future, particularly when long haul partners, like Frontier and Midwest, are struggling to stay afloat. Additionally, industry consolidation, such as the combination of Delta and Northwest, is bound to shed excess capacity as the two airlines integrate in 2010.

Perhaps this is why Indianapolis-based Republic Airlines, recently acquired Frontier and Midwest. By purchasing those longer haul airlines, which fly standard size B717 and Airbus 320 family aircraft, Republic has assured its future as a feeder carrier for both airlines (assuming Republic's management will find a way to keep those carriers in business). At this point, it is difficult to speculate if this unprecedented move will foment additional merger activity where regional airlines take control of their larger, but financially weaker, mainline affiliates.

While regional jets are already stretched to accommodate up to 100 passengers, regional aircraft manufacturer Bombardier is currently developing its new C Series aircraft which will take regional jets to new heights with a 150-seat airplane projected to be 20% more fuel efficient than a similar sized craft today. With a range of almost 3,000 nautical miles and many airlines already adding first class cabins to their regional fleets, the new C Series is bound to blur the lines between mainline and regional airlines and compete directly with Airbus and Boeing narrow-body aircraft when it enters operation in 2013.

Bob Crandall, the former CEO of American Airlines, once said that the most profitable part of his airline was the computerized reservations system used by travel agents. If Crandall was at the helm of American today, he would surely say that his regional airline, American Eagle is the most profitable part of the airline. If good times for regional operators persist and newer jets get larger and capable of flying longer distances, we may one day find ourselves aboard regional jets for all domestic travel.

http://www.usatoday.com/travel/columnist/grossman/2009-11-03-regional-airlines_N.htm
 
beating a dead horse, but how can the majors retain their scope and justify their huge operating costs (both pilots and aircraft) when the regionals are doing it for so much cheaper?
 
Well, first of all, I agree, this article seems a bit old. The race to the bottom was heading at lightning fast speed between 2001 up until last year....its slowed up a bit now, but future has been written for Regional pilots.

Can mass retirements at the Majors make up for the lost jobs that have been farmed to the Regionals? My thoughts are no, because I forsee the mainline carriers taking the retirements as an opportunity to trim the operations up.

The pilot dream no longer exsists....unless you call flying for a Regional your entire career a "dream".
 
Can mass retirements at the Majors make up for the lost jobs that have been farmed to the Regionals?
".

That's probably the only hope we have right now, otherwise the future looks pretty bleak. Plus.. majors could even consolidate, fail etc in the future that could also mean job losses for both levels.
 
10 years from now, I see most mainline carriers operating almost exclusively as "virtual airlines." It will be almost exclusively regional flying within our borders, with the possible exception of trans con routes being flown by mainline. Mainline's only real operation will be international routes.

Thus, the future for any of us who aspire to be "airline pilots" will likely be limited to a career spent at the "regionals" (however that term gets defined in the future).

I don't really care whether I'm flying a Boeing or an Embaer, I just think that given the responsibility of the job and the cost of entry to the career, that pilots need to be compensated appropriately, as the current regional pay scale does not accomplish that.
 
I don't really care whether I'm flying a Boeing or an Embaer, I just think that given the responsibility of the job and the cost of entry to the career, that pilots need to be compensated appropriately, as the current regional pay scale does not accomplish that.

Its not just the pay, its better work rules too. These "musical bases" are ridiculous for any quality of life. Its hard to see a silver lining in this industry....but maybe I'm just tired of everything rolling downhill and slapping me in the face.
 
Well, first of all, I agree, this article seems a bit old. The race to the bottom was heading at lightning fast speed between 2001 up until last year....its slowed up a bit now, but future has been written for Regional pilots.

Can mass retirements at the Majors make up for the lost jobs that have been farmed to the Regionals? My thoughts are no, because I forsee the mainline carriers taking the retirements as an opportunity to trim the operations up.

The pilot dream no longer exsists....unless you call flying for a Regional your entire career a "dream".

Regionals are seemingly becoming the new airline standard, if I read what the article seems to be inferring.

150+ seat RJs........wow.
 
Regionals are seemingly becoming the new airline standard, if I read what the article seems to be inferring.

150+ seat RJs........wow.

I'm training for a career as a Wildlife biologist with the US Fish and Wildlife....seriously. I'm still 3 years out from an appointment....but its my second love and a seemingly much more stable career choice.
 
10 years from now, I see most mainline carriers operating almost exclusively as "virtual airlines." It will be almost exclusively regional flying within our borders, with the possible exception of trans con routes being flown by mainline. Mainline's only real operation will be international routes.

Thus, the future for any of us who aspire to be "airline pilots" will likely be limited to a career spent at the "regionals" (however that term gets defined in the future).

I don't really care whether I'm flying a Boeing or an Embaer, I just think that given the responsibility of the job and the cost of entry to the career, that pilots need to be compensated appropriately, as the current regional pay scale does not accomplish that.

Absolutely. But IMHO, the fact that practically every regional has excess pilots while pay sucks, QOL sucks, career prospects sucks says something... Why should compensation rise if there will be bodies in the cockpit seats (and piles of pilot job applications) regardless of the wage rate? So, in a purely economic sense, the wage rate is right where it needs to be. I'm sure I'm beating a long dead horse here, but if somebody takes the job at a crappy wage rate, the airline has done its job. Airline XYZ has pilots to fly the planes that carry the revenue producing passengers, and pilots stay with the job because they choose/want to and lateral moves would be career suicide. The free market and capitalism just doin' its thing.
 
I'm training for a career as a Wildlife biologist with the US Fish and Wildlife....seriously. I'm still 3 years out from an appointment....but its my second love and a seemingly much more stable career choice.

I hear you. Gotta do what you love. Seriously. Even my primary gig; its cool and fun doing the LEO/pilot thing....as well as stable. But firefighting is where I started in life, so I do my best to work as much with my fire/rescue services contracting business as much as I can. Cool, easy work that still makes some money.
 
Absolutely. But IMHO, the fact that practically every regional has excess pilots while pay sucks, QOL sucks, career prospects sucks says something... Why should compensation rise if there will be bodies in the cockpit seats (and piles of pilot job applications) regardless of the wage rate? So, in a purely economic sense, the wage rate is right where it needs to be. I'm sure I'm beating a long dead horse here, but if somebody takes the job at a crappy wage rate, the airline has done its job. Airline XYZ has pilots to fly the planes that carry the revenue producing passengers, and pilots stay with the job because they choose/want to and lateral moves would be career suicide. The free market and capitalism just doin' its thing.

In the interest of beating a dead horse.

RFP's and whipsawing results in little leverage to raise wages significantly.


Maybe take a look at some of this. Wheelsup made some very valid points that it is more than thousands of guys trying to get a regional job. There are 10's of thousands trying to get into SWA and their pay isn't going anywhere.

Anyway, think what you want. I think your view is too simplistic and cliche.
 
Regionals are seemingly becoming the new airline standard, if I read what the article seems to be inferring.

150+ seat RJs........wow.
Oh yeah definitely! I've already heard mentions of DL managment having plans in the works to ask DALPA for more relaxation of their scope to allow 100 seat RJ's "temporarily" till they get can get a 100+ seat a/c at mainline.
 
Oh yeah definitely! I've already heard mentions of DL managment having plans in the works to ask DALPA for more relaxation of their scope to allow 100 seat RJ's "temporarily" till they get can get a 100+ seat a/c at mainline.

Where I come from, things that are "temporarily" always seem to become "indefinite". :)
 
Oh yeah definitely! I've already heard mentions of DL managment having plans in the works to ask DALPA for more relaxation of their scope to allow 100 seat RJ's "temporarily" till they get can get a 100+ seat a/c at mainline.


They can ask for anything they want. doesn't mean that they get it.


Although, I do admit that the track record does favor them. This time though, enough guys are ticked off that things would get very ugly on line if DALPA caved.
 
They can ask for anything they want. doesn't mean that they get it.


Although, I do admit that the track record does favor them. This time though, enough guys are ticked off that things would get very ugly on line if DALPA caved.



What if they said they would raise your pay, near to where it used to be before 9-11, in exchange for 100 seaters?
 
What if the senior guys (who aren't worried about losing their jobs) who control the MEC, want their pay restored more than they want to protect junior guys?


A. Most of the senior guys now were not so long mid junior guys who moved up when the crusties took the early outs. ans.They still remember what protecting seats me

B. In the next few days the make up of the MEC is going to change due to LEC elections in 4 councils, including the largest one in DALPA, the ALT 44 council. Unscientific guessing looks like the scope hawks should gain a few seats.
 
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