Seggy has a wet spot and needs to change his underwear, he can have his little victory. For now.
For the rest of us...
I'm glad the hostages have been released. (On a side note, why does Iran keep capturing hostages? Something to ponder.) I'm glad they are free. Diplomacy has worked, as it did when Iran captured our sailors a few days ago. (Iran captured Americans, again?) But I'm afraid the Iran nuclear deal (if that is why these hostages were released) is just a temporary victory. A few things here.
Ok, I think things have been going down the wrong path for a while in this country and I'm not exactly the president's cheerleader, but it's important that we address these talking points because they are factually incorrect or simply misleading.
1. Iran must actually stick to the agreement. And they have already broken the agreement by firing missiles near our ships.
So what, we do that stuff all the time. I'd probably be trying to look like a badass if I was Iran too - they know they're outgunned in the region, but they still have to show other local nations that they have "the biggest dick." These displays are not aimed at us. It's basically saving face. Let the Ayatollah have it, it's not really that big of a deal.
2. What makes you think Iran will actually stick to the agreement?
We shall see if they stick to the "intent" of the deal. If they don't, then F-em, but for now, be excited that there's actually some positive diplomacy going on. Diplomacy is a good thing. It's important that nations talk to one another in peace rather than pick up the pieces.
3. This agreement only delays Iran from developing a nuclear weapon, it does not prevent them from developing one.
Meh. We shall see. Also, who the hell cares if the Iranians have a nuke? To be honest, they'd be crazy not to be trying to get one, look at all the "regime change" that has happened in recent years over there. Iran isn't stupid, it's a deterrent in their eyes, and likely not a bad idea for them.
4. Basically Obama has a victory, not the United States. He has kicked the can down the road for 10 years so that he looks good, but some other poor schmuck is going to have to deal with it in the future.
Anytime two nations sit down and start talking through their disagreements instead of killing one another's citizens it's a victory for all of mankind. I'd much rather we did this than carpet bomb Tehran.
5. We'll be right here in 10 years. Iran will have their 22,000 centrifuges up and running, and they'll have a nuke weapon ready 3 months after that. Actually they'll have 8-10 weapons ready.
So what? If you think that Iran is just going to give nuclear weapons to terrorists to deploy, you are a fool. They have to stay in power, and if that happened, we'd annihilate them. Period. MAD is alive in well - the only thing them having nukes does is prevent us from "Iraq-ing" them - which is honestly probably a good thing, at least the general population of Iran is more or less pro-Western even if the powers that be are not.
6. So we all have 10 years to start digging our 1950's style nuclear bomb shelters.
Bro, do you even physics? The Iranians
cannot deliver a weapon to the CONUS. Hell, they couldn't deliver a weapon to Alaska or Hawaii. Do you understand the kind of distances and velocities involved in deliver and nuclear weapon that far? Not only that, but these people aren't idiots. There
is no Iran if a missile even launches. Man I live on Kauai, we're testing ground based interceptors all the time out here - you think that Iran has a hope of delivering a nuclear payload to America in ten years unmolested while we're dumping billions into building machines and technologies to shoot down these sorts of threats? Not going to happen. Iran is glass moments after the missile leaves the pad. The Ayatollah is the "old guard" now - they're not stupid, they're not going to do something that jeopardizes the powerstructures they're at the top of.
In 10 years my twin boys will be 17 years old. I've got 10 years to save up enough college tuition so they don't get drafted, because we will have to go to war with Iran to stop their nuclear program. (Really, what middle class person can actually afford to save up enough college tuition for 2 kids let alone one?) I am scared to death of the future President Obama has delivered us.
I can't really disagree with the direction the country is headed in financially. College tuition is one of many problems, but I don't think you have to worry about the boys being drafted. I have nothing to back that up, but I'm not worried about it, and I have 2 kids and a kid on the way.