The math has been done.
The risk is being evaluated, overseas.
IF...... it works out, overseas..... then expect the MPL rating to show up in the United States around 2010 or shortly there after.
When that happens, along with age 65, the airlines will enjoy a pilot surplus going forward that they control.
Why? The age 65 buys them time to transition to MPL training programs. The MPL gives them options that include:
(1) Pilot pay for MPL training
(2) Community college or University program MPL grads
(3) Airline cost share MPL.
Mix or match, or combinations of the above. It will happen. Boeing has put a pile of money on it and the airlines are on board.
Long term this means lower career earnings for a pilot.
ERAU has already denounced it, FAA says they are not interested (like they were interested in 65?), but watch..... once the momentum starts, ERAU will be first with a program.
Money talks, BS walks. There is a big pile of money to make this happen so that a small pile of money is all that is needed to pay a pilot over the course of a career.
It's just math.