First of all let me extend a warm welcome to our future brothers and sisters at Mesaba to the party here at PNCL Air Holdings, Inc. It is the right thing to do offering furloughed pilots class dates here on the "Q" or SAAB before hiring off the street. However, I am not certain that I am in agreement with giving them their longevity for pay purposes. This may ruffle some feathers, but in overall fairness they are still essentially new-hires here and should start at first-year pay and at the bottom of the list. I DO agree with them having longevity apply for seniority integration purposes. I think that this whole deal is going to have a major effect upon the pilot groups of both companies. How is seniority going to be determined? Date-of-Hire? Relative Seniority? Either of these scenarios will make a big difference in how move forward. But, I have many questions that have yet to be answered about this merger.
My biggest question is what our fleet composition is going to look like in two years when the asset transfer/merger is supposed to be completed. By this time Colgan will have taken delivery of 44 Q-400 aircraft and in theory still have 34 SAAB-340B aircraft for a total of 78 airframes and another 15 on order, with deliveries scheduled to be completed late 2013 bringing the total fleet to 93 aircraft. With Mesaba retiring their SAAB fleet at 2 per month beginning in Jan. 2011. All their SAABs will be in the desert or returned to lessors by mid-2012. Pretty close to the time the asset transfer/merger will have been completed. By a rough estimate this will require a pilot group of approximately 1000 to adequately staff the airline.
Combining the Mesaba and Colgan lists in 2012 will amount to about 1,150 to 1,200 pilots which is a couple of hundred more than is required. Assuming the current rate of attrition remains the same, it seems that we will be unable to avoid furloughs down the road. AND, this assumes that PNCL will continue to operate the SAAB. A lot of flowery rhetoric has been put out by the company that they "like" the SAAB and will continue to seek additional markets/codeshare opportunities for them. This doesn't seem to jive with other statements about the company's vision for operating a fleet of exclusively CRJ-900s and Q-400s under two operating certificates and two pilot seniority lists. With the SAABs gone in the next five years that brings that pilot group down to about 650-700 pilots tops to operate a fleet of 60 Q-400s. Will their be enough seats when the music stops for everyone to have a job 5 years from now? Even if the intent is to continue to operate the SAABs for longer than the next 5 years or so...What codeshares? What markets? I think PNCL really wants to get out of the EAS/SAAB business. This what my gut is telling me, and it also tells me that I will probably be needing to get either comfortable in the right seat of the SAAB, or try to bid the junior Q-400 left-seat if the next batch goes to Newark? The Q is JUNIOR equipment here at the moment if you can believe that! All of our street Captains, except for handful are going to the Q!
This leads me to my final point where having the Mesaba furloughed pilots should be on our list. In 2011, some of them will be able to get into the left-seat of the Q because it is going to be difficult to avoid hiring street Captains. So, if this were the case I think that the crap would hit the fan if they were receiving longevity for pay on flying the "Q" in the left-seat. I know that I don't like it from a conceptual point of view, but personally I would take it in stride, because no that flies the line makes policy. And, it is very important to remember that when we interact with our fellow pilots. All three groups are ALPA members. We need to present a united front, treat one another with respect and dignity in the crewroom and the cockpit.
Lastly, it is important to remember the airline industry is going thru some tumultuous times, especially at the regional level. Traffic may be increasing, but their is still a lot of excess capacity out there. This costs the airline millions to maintain, and it is logical that the contractions experienced by the legacy carriers has begun to trickle down to the regionals. Delta is making what I see as a wise business decision by divesting themselves of their wholly-owned regionals (except Comair, which may not be long for this world either if Delta has it's way IMHO) and making them bid for the contracts to provide them lift to their hubs. I believe that PNCL Holdings has the right vision for the future, but judgement is out on whether they have bitten off more than we can all chew.
There are a lot red flags going on here that calls for all to re-focus on our duties:
1. Airline sale/merger
2. Union integration
3. Contract negotiations underway at Colgan and Pinnacle (rejected TA)
4. Company growth
5. New-Hires coming on-board
6. New cities being added
7. Merging operations/Training/Manuals/Procedures, etc...
8 ??? Probably more red flags I am missing.
Historically speaking this is a VERY dangerous time in an aviation operation be it military or civilian. Couple this with perhaps some strong emotions from certain segments of all the pilot groups, and you have one helluva interesting situation brewing!
Again, no offense intended toward the Mesaba pilots that may be joining Colgan. I hope that my rationale makes sense regarding their status until SLI takes place. There is just NO way everyone is going to be happy no matter what happens. How we all react and behave post-decision making is what is important. Having an "axe-to-grind" will serve nothing. Heck if I was a Mesaba pilot on furlough and was making a buck and able to stay in a furloughed status until the dust settles that's what I'd do.
Regards,
ex-Navy Rotorhead