In all seriousness, without a thread hijack for no reason, I wish the AE guys the best. I don't see the AE feed being able to be replaced quickly when they want to qual guys on the E175, and fly the 145/700.... Nor do I see the FAA "OK" with that either, but I am wrong more times than not.
Mgmt across the board is playing a game I like to call "cool guy at the bar"... They will see how far they can make it with the "hot chick". If unsuccessful, they still know the girlfriend is at the house. It's not right, but there is nobody saying "they can't" unless they try. Please don't take the analogy offensively, but I think it makes the point clearly.
In the end, everyone knows mgmt chasing one thing, in this case- profit margin. You can't alter fuel or mx much, so the variable is pricing pressure and labor. Pricing is being tested, as is labor. You can't blame mgmt for trying to enhance the profit margin, but at the end of the day the decision is NOT "profit" when it's your own family, and the families of guys/gals we all call "colleagues".
It's a shame this industry has come to this point. For the short term, management is winning. Endeavor (pinnacle corp) was in BK and now DL is making a profit. PSA was profitable, and now are more so. Pricing pressure is now on a "full press" from mgmt into the labor ranks. What I cannot fathom is the "long term". How will pilots come to any regional, or better yet pursue a career path of a "pilot" with what is offered from the industry as a whole? No stability, low pay, no progression...? The pipeline is pretty dry already. With the 1500/R-ATP rules in effect you cannot just say "yea, I'll go be a pilot NOW", the timeline and cost to entry doesn't justify the ROI calculation.
This industry is changing for sure. Major Airlines, as a whole are turning great profits, IATA predicts only continued growth going forward, but in the end something is going to snap. Whether it's a pilot shortage from qualified pilots, or a lack of qualified pilots willing to do the job for the current "offers" is to be determined. The "qualified vs willing" issue can be fixed pretty quick. An LOA for pay/benes and maybe a signing bonus can fix the problem. Looking down the timeline, that doesn't work beyond 12-24 months when retirements really start, while capacity growth is warranted on the supply/demand curve.
There isn't the "qualified" factor at that point. The option then is only consolidation. Sure, 50 seaters are being parked, but in doing so with less airframes due to no pilot availability. Majors are already consolidating into only a few choice mega-carriers.
There are markets either not served or under-served that decay profitability, which then puts mgmt in the hot seat to shareholders and the public. Larger airframes, with the "major airline" contracts accompany the new airframes, but the infrastructure for filling the seats (regionals) is compromised which creates a domino effect to mgmt's disadvantage.
A magic 8-ball would be nice to have right now. In the world of reality, mgmt has asked for what they want and they unfortunately swing a realistic stick. Negotiations should be able to improve things a bit, but at the end of the day the mem rat is the deciding piece.
Good luck guys.