You are going to get a lot of pro ALPA talk from a bunch of people here. Some of it certainly is correct. Some of it not so much so.
Basically, the rank and file of Airways has been pretty ticked off with their MEC and LECs for a while now. The senior guys pretty much ran the place. People would say, the easiest thing to do would be just to recall everybody that was causing problems, but due in part to how the system was set up, and in part to the apathy on the part of a lot of US pilots, that just hasn't happened.
So then the merger rolled around and the AAA MEC told their pilots that they were going to get date of hire and nothing else. And then even AFTER the arbitrator told them that they WOULDN'T get DOH the MEC STILL told their pilots that they would get DOH for them. Well, that didn't happen and the Nic Award was handed down. Fair or not (I certainly don't think it is) it's what ALPA, legally was going to have to use. (A quick side note... you NOW see ALPA starting to rethink merger/frag policy as all these other groups realize they could get screwed.)
Anyhow, those that were unhappy with US ALPA thought this would be the perfect catalyst to empower some change in the representative structure at AAA. Could they do it simply by recalling everybody and sticking with ALPA? Sure, but they'd never get enough people to go for, so instead they decided to just dump ALPA all together. At first ALPA sort of laughed it off and said it would never happen, but now that they actually got the required signatures to force a vote ALPA is running scared trying to keep them. Sort of. They are also throwing out a lot of FUD that is scaring off a bunch of people that probably would be willing to keep ALPA around. Short sighted if you ask me.
I like a lot of the ideas that USAPA has. *IF* they hold up to what they say they are going to do, it will be a heck of a lot better representation that a lot of these pilots had before.
As far as it hurting ALPA? I don't know how much it's going to really do. AAA paid a lot of money to them, and that certainly is going to hurt if/when they lose that. In theory it could start a cascade of pilot groups wanting to leave, but I don't see that happening.
We'll see I guess.
How long are you down in Charlotte for? I get in on Monday and get to spend almost two full weeks in the wonderful training hotel.