There is a belief held within the industry that pilots, irrespective of the cuts in wages and benefits taken to date are still grossly overpaid. The draconian cuts from post 911 bankruptcies were just the beginning. From this point forward look for modest gains that do not keep pace with inflation to continue the reduction of pilot labor costs. 10-15 years out look for pilot compensation to be something that resembles this:
(MAX pay in 2007 dollars)
Wide body CA 125K/yr
Narrow CA 75K
RJ CA 50K
Turboprop CA 35K
Wide FO 75K
Narrow FO 50K
RJ FO 30K
Turboprop FO 25K
www.aircon.org
There is a belief held within the industry that pilots, irrespective of the cuts in wages and benefits taken to date are still grossly overpaid. The draconian cuts from post 911 bankruptcies were just the beginning. From this point forward look for modest gains that do not keep pace with inflation to continue the reduction of pilot labor costs. 10-15 years out look for pilot compensation to be something that resembles this:
(MAX pay in 2007 dollars)
Wide body CA 125K/yr
Narrow CA 75K
RJ CA 50K
Turboprop CA 35K
Wide FO 75K
Narrow FO 50K
RJ FO 30K
Turboprop FO 25K
www.aircon.org
I disagree. ALPA's polling over the past two years has indicated something unexpected: the young, newest generation of airline pilots is the most militant that the Association has seen in decades. The ultra-militant proposal that the APA made last month to AMR with 50% payraise demands is only the beginning. Over the next decade, we're going to see the same thing at many other carriers. The younger pilots aren't willing to sell their souls for job security as the last generation of mainline pilots have. I predict a series of bar-raising contracts during the next period of pattern bargaining, beginning with the CAL contract.
I'm not laughing, but management is. They think ALPA is bankrupt and coming apart at the seams. USAirways arbitration bloodbath, Paycuts, Pension terminations, Inability to organize (recent SkyWest), ALPA revenue losses from reductions in pay. The list goes on. The management teams are standing at a distance and laughing.
I'm on your side and I would love to agree with you, but it's simply not reality. Inertia in the wrong direction has built as ALPA has lost strength.
Oh, and management teams are aware of the ultra-militant issue and they are countering it (laugh if you want) in the hiring process for new hires. Psyc testing, interview, etc to identify and eliminate potential future militants. They think (or hope) the militant ones they have already hired will just get fed up and leave.
www.aircon.org
BTW,
I totally hope you are correct. I'm pretty worried that 'my generation' is going to #### everything up even more than it already is.
As long as more people are educated like a majority of the people here... I won't be too worried.
I can't be more sincere,
I wish you were right.
Again, I disagree. We'll find out in the next few years,
I hope your foresight on this topic is more accurate than your oil prediction over on FI.
Not making fun of you, I just chuckle every time I see "Mark my words, oil will be below 40/bbl this time next year" posted Aug 05.
They have backup plans, degrees in other fields, or they just plain don't give a &^%$.
Ah, yes. They sound like fine guys.
Listen, I hope you're right, PCL, but seaavi8or has a point. Our place has hired a boatload of Skywest guys lately. Why? Precisely because they are non-union and are looking for that mentality.
Jokes on them though, they hired at least one of the guys who was on the ALPA organizing committee. LOL!
As far as I'm concerned, they're a dream come true. A large block of voting members willing to walk away from their jobs at the drop of a hat brings the union true power. If we had had that attitude at the legacies over the past five years, then things wouldn't have fallen to the point they have.
Do you really think that if push comes to shove, that they WOULD walk away?
I used to worry about the same thing. Then I upgraded and started flying with a lot of the younger guys, and I realized just how pissed off and militant most of them were. Yes, there were exceptions, but most were completely committed to taking any steps necessary to get what they felt they deserved. As a union leader, my biggest problem wasn't with the young guy, my problem was with the regional "lifer" in his late 40s or 50s who had so much invested in his regional airline. He was willing to take pretty much any abuse just to make 100% certain that his airline didn't lose flying, or worse yet, cease to exist. The young guys just don't seem to have those same concerns. They have backup plans, degrees in other fields, or they just plain don't give a &^%$.