I love the job, flying is great, door close to open is very fun. It's the rest of the industry crap. I've already gone through 2 mergers. They all suck to some degree but this one particularly sucks with a base closure and the next base being 2,000nm away. And remember, I bypassed upgrade to stay in base as a NY FO versus CA on the west coast. If I start right now at AA and get New York, the job itself won't be much different than what I was literally already doing just a couple months ago = NY FO. Obviously I prioritized location close to family. Once the base closed I pulled the trigger for the upgrade.
@ATN_Pilot remember our SLI isn't done yet. Currently I'm 54% on my list. On the VX proposal I'm about 57% and the AS proposal about 63%. If you assume the arbitrators meet the middle ground, maybe I'm 60% overall. In the next 10 yrs we retire 620ish pilots out of 3k. So assuming (unrealistic, but for simple math) no growth and we are a 3k pilot group, I'd go from 60% to 39% overall on the list. At AA, starting as active pilot #14,800 today in 10 yrs (also assume no growth for simple math) they retire 8,300 so that would be 44% overall on the list in 10 yrs. Even if you throw in growth and assume AS is 4k pilots and AA ends up 16k pilots, it's still extremely close. AA's retirement graphs are shocking to see visually! At DL and UA, it isn't as dramatic. The benefit to DL is their retirement spree happens in the next 6 yrs, especially 2020-2024. So if one is looking for a NY spot at Delta, they'll do well. UA has the least amount of retirements for the next 10 yrs, their main spree takes off in the later part of the 2020 decade. If I got UA, I'd hang out 75/76 out of EWR and just chill until upgrade.
The good news is I haven't yet been spoiled by the pay raise, along with the fact I still have over 3 decades to go. Don't get me wrong, I'm not completely crazy. I would not leave my job for anything except the big 3 already listed. But you are also correct: move. With 2 young kids and no desire to transcon commute for decades, I will have to move depending on how this plays out. We get 2 yrs to use the moving benefits and 2 yrs sounds like the limit of my commute desire. I'm just hoping to get a call in the next 2 yrs and if so, bail out and if not then we move out west in base. I realize I have first world problems and shouldn't complain about anything but it sorta sucks not to know what my living situation may be in the next 12 months.