Projected retirements at AA

I'm looking for the memo, but my employer mentioned something about the new rules will create an efficiency increase of 6%

And I'm flying a six-day trip that could legally be a two man international trip to Europe and onto Asia.
 
Doug Taylor said:
Here's some actual figures.

I'm 7700 of about 12000 pilots, 15 years of seniority in 2012:

Was going to be at #3 or #6 (I can't remember because it's water under the bride) in 2030, but mergers + Age 65 + "other" here's an actual seniority progression, not just something off a website which really can't be validated:


View attachment 19912

It really doesn't make much of a large difference for me until towards 2020, peaks shortly and back down to regular levels of retirements. Of course, that's "for me".

Unless there's some wide body orders coming down the road that add to the fleet (and not simply replace), there's not that meteoric of an effect that is going to accelerate my career progression to crazy, end-of-the-world levels.
Click to expand...

Delta has a good amount of retirements but uts one of the slower ones compared to UNICAL, AMR and Airways. Ill do a spreadsheet when I get home but the numbers are incredible. Someone hired in the next wave at AMR will hold Widebody Capt within 12 years. Unical retires 400+ pilots in 2013 and thats not including the 100+ vacancies they have after their last bid. Yeah they have furloughs but hardly any of them will come back.

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After looking at the numbers again I overexaggerated the AMR retirements, unless none of the furloughs come back. Including all the furloughs in the numbers Delta has the quickest retirements to hit 50% of the current list in 2021, then everybody else catches up. If flying keeps returning to mainline at Delta like its rumored to with the DC9/MD90/717 flying, big movement ahead at DAL. But in the near future UNICAL gets off to a flying start of 400+/yr

I will get a comparision spreadsheet done soon

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Trip7 said:
After looking at the numbers again I overexaggerated the AMR retirements, unless none of the furloughs come back. Including all the furloughs in the numbers Delta has the quickest retirements to hit 50% of the current list in 2021, then everybody else catches up. If flying keeps returning to mainline at Delta like its rumored to with the DC9/MD90/717 flying, big movement ahead at DAL. But in the near future UNICAL gets off to a flying start of 400+/yr

I will get a comparision spreadsheet done soon

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Click to expand...

I have a spreadsheet of all the retirement numbers for the companies I listed on page 3/4 of this thread...I am just not sure how to get an Excel file onto the forum.

Also, I don't have data for several regionals. I am sure some people don't care, but I see that as "total industry movement" so they are numbers I would be curious to know...so again, if someone knows the retirement data at your company, I would be interested to know.
 
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