I honestly think as a 2011 hire at JetBlue, you would have been just fine in the final SLI with Spirit, within a point of where you currently are.
Well, at this point it's a moo point... a cow's opinion... it doesn't matter. But:
(and I never had any control over what was going to happen)
ALPA merger policy is this:
When '11 hires were onboarded at AzulNorte™, they had say ~2200 heavy machine operators. TheYellowBus™ Inc. had ~360 HMO's. That's a big strike against a huge number of middle seniority Azul HMO's. Unless the arbitrator's Alpha-Bits happened to spell out "Longevity weighted at 100%" the morning he was going to write his ruling. They were going to be slotted into a final list along other operators that could not even get an interview when they were hired at Azul between say '06-'13. Then there are the Yellow HMO's that were hired before Azul even was a thought in anyone's head.
Bullet Point #1... How do you weigh that... on one hand, the career expectation of HMO's at both carriers were NB, sitting on the left. One Place had flights to Europe, a robust growing network. The other one... well, see Helene's opinion circa 17Jan'24. Even before that, many Azul Potsherds were legit making arguments for huge points in favor for the Azul HMO's.
Bullet Point 3... Status and Category... Azul has JungleJets and CanaBuses... but even the Azul CanaBus has a rate comperable to a Yellow 320 driver. My argument would have been that it's either equal or weighted Azul.
In the end, no argument supercedes "fair and equitable integrated seniority list" - so in the end we would have probably seen an integration like Alaska-Virgin. And, well, the Azul Merger Committee - other than not tapping the experience of at least 2 pilots I know of that have been through a merger before - are pretty darn smart. 70/30? Longevity to 'relative' - using the ALA-VX model, maybe with some siloing thrown in. I ran a bunch of guesses. Somewhere between exactly the ALA-VX model and a 70/30 was where my best guess ended up being.
But here's my point... this hypothetical pilot I'm thinkiong of is scheduled to retire top 5% - if we remain stagnant... 3% if we grow organically. If the merger went through it'd be closer to 10%. And his progression down to 10 would be slowed greatly because of the average age of a YellowBus™ HMO. Basically, during this hypothetical person's best earning, most senior years - he was gonna be at a huge disadvantage. Because seniority is everything. He was ok with it, not happy... but ok because of the benefits of being able to compete with the top 5.
But, 'being within a point of where you currently are' is only one tiny piece of the puzzle of a career. In fact, that result would be a huge failure on he part of a fair and equatable integrated seniority list. Because it wouldn't be 'fair' at all to a huge % of Azul pilots.
Anyway, IMO. Again... now, it's just a Moo point.