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The problem is UAV/UCAVs are
expendable. The military would rather put 10 UCAVs into battle and loose all of them as compared to sending 5 manned aircraft and loosing 1 or 2 aircraft
and pilots. The only reason UAV/UCAVs are gaining popularity with the "brass" is they are cheap and expendable.
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VERY INCORRECT ASSESSMENT!
I am actively engaged and working with two large aerospace companies that are trying to supply UAV/UCAV to the Air Force and Navy. The Air Force would like to store their UCAV until they are needed. The Navy on the other hand intends to fly their UCAV just like their operational manned aircrafts. Keep in mind the UCAV and ISR (Intelligence, Survaillence, Reconnaisance) vehicle are not your Predator size aircraft nor will they cost $2M/vehicle.
I had the chance to visit to see the Pegasus aircraft in person and it has a wing span of 27.8 ft, total length of 27.9 ft, with a height of 6.1 ft. Keep in mind its just little smaller from the F-16 which has a wing span of 32.8ft, total length of 49.3 ft, and a height of 16.7 ft (because of the vertical tail). To see the predator link below:
http://biz.yahoo.com/pz/030223/37039.html
I attendied an aerospace symposium and an Executive Vice President of Lockheed Martin and the Director of Northrop Grumman's Advanced Systems both stated that UCAV and larger UAV costs will not be inexpensive and the cost will be similiar to a Block 50 F-16. Keep in mind the avionics are the most expensive system on the airframe. Yes you are correct that some brass in the DOD and congress may see these as expendable vehicles but the designers do not because they design to the requirements! Anybody in a technical field or flies for the military will know what I am talking about. We are building survivable systems that can jam electronics, have reduced RCS and IR detection, and carry direct energy weapons for SEAD (Suppression of Enemy Air Defense). These vehicles are ment to survive and carry the battle on a higher tempo than manned aircraft. They are to go into places that you wouldn't send a pilot to risk his life.
So they are not what you say they are. My post said "IMO" I believed the military/space programs would fix any software and hardware issues involve with total autonomous flight (i.e. no pilot flying a joystick behind a TV tube). The military will fix these because they do not want an unmanned vehicle to fall down into someones backyard. With that said if commercial aviation will ever go unmanned it won't happen for quite sometime.