Even Vegas is weighing in on the shortage

I've always liked my Vegas overnights and I'm not a gambler nor a drinker. Our hotel is very close to the Hard Rock and about a ~25-30 minute walk to the strip.
 
Guys, I don't even have a machine that can wash, dry and then fold my clothes.

We're not being replaced by The Borg anytime soon.

If you've ever actually had to work with developing software or technology, and not just reading dystopian novels about our robotic future, you know that technology doesn't work the way the masses think it does.

I mean my plane can't handle a hard LOC capture without trying to turn itself on its back, I'm not worried about HAL taking over.
 
jtrain609 said:
Guys, I don't even have a machine that can wash, dry and then fold my clothes.

We're not being replaced by The Borg anytime soon.

If you've ever actually had to work with developing software or technology, and not just reading dystopian novels about our robotic future, you know that technology doesn't work the way the masses think it does.

I mean my plane can't handle a hard LOC capture without trying to turn itself on its back, I'm not worried about HAL taking over.
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The amount of times I've seen a land 3 and 5 seconds later the A/P disconnects for no discernible reason. Even on the 2005 model.
Or it's following the G/S and suddenly thinks, oh, I'll just follow it a dot high the whole way down, cause we have unlimited runway right?
Or we're LNAVing along FDaH and it just starts drifting to the right or left despite perfectly acceptable ANP.
 
jtrain609 said:
Guys, I don't even have a machine that can wash, dry and then fold my clothes.

We're not being replaced by The Borg anytime soon.

If you've ever actually had to work with developing software or technology, and not just reading dystopian novels about our robotic future, you know that technology doesn't work the way the masses think it does.

I mean my plane can't handle a hard LOC capture without trying to turn itself on its back, I'm not worried about HAL taking over.
Click to expand...

lol I was putting away a massive pile of clean clothes after reading the ridiculousness in this thread last night and realized we're all good. I hate folding clothes. I'd pay tons for a robot to do it.
 
As has already been pointed out, pilots need not be replaced with autonomous aircraft to be affected by technological unemployment. If enough other jobs are eliminated and enough people end up structurally unemployed, there will be a decline in consumer demand. The airline industry is very cyclical, and it also depends on large numbers of people having the disposable income to spend on air travel, which is ultimately a luxury.

It has already been pointed out that most taxi and truck drivers will be replaced by automation within the next decade. Right now there are about 3.5 million truck drivers in the USA, and it is indeed the most common profession in the land. Imagine what kind of multiplier effect the loss of 3.5 million jobs will have on the economy as a whole.

Yes, there may be no reliable clothes-folding robot as yet, but I suspect that physical tasks like that will be the most difficult to automate. The easiest jobs to automate will be those that consist of fairly simple, routine physical tasks, or that are purely mental. In fact, many lower-level office-type jobs have already been replaced with software, and it appears that Paralegals will probaby be replaced with automation in the near future as @Soku39 already pointed out. In the long run most white collar jobs except for very specialized ones or executives will likely be replaced with computer systems. I suspect that the last remaining jobs will be highly-skilled blue collar trades and menial, physically intensive jobs that are difficult to automate and that don't pay well now (meaning the employer would save relatively little money by replacing the employees with automation). Besides, most companies are likely to be very eager to replace employees with automation to reduce costs, since employee compensation is the biggest expense for most companies, so it makes sense that most automated system/ robot development would be geared toward helping employers save money on payroll costs.

I seriously hope to be proven wrong about all this, and that those of you who scoff at Technological Unemployment are correct. But it seems to me that the writing is clearly on the wall. The idea of a Dystopian future with Technological Unemployment may be unpalatable but I suspect it will soon be a reality, and by the end of the next recession it will be too apparent to ignore.
 
@Yakob I've heard fully autonomous vehicles are becoming much more problematic than originally thought. Between weather, other cars, pedestrians, pot holes, bikers, kids running out in the street, etc it makes for an extremely fluid environment.

Not to mention even if the truck drives itself who's going to unload it, fix a flat, check the oil, deal with logistics and what not?
 
@Yakob and @Soku39, also, as I'm sure you guys know, in addition to creating a much smaller class of wealthier and wealthier people who may need to safeguard themselves, the additions and merger of technology and biology(Stem Cell Technology, 3-D printing of organs, cellular regeneration etc) will likely make people live longer and healthier. And of course, these treatments may only be available to the wealthy. Making them superior not just intellectually, but biologically as well.

And someone mentioned that corporate management won't be automated. Well guess what, that appears to be on the table too. http://www.cnbc.com/2016/12/22/the-...-secret-algorithm-to-automate-management.html
 
Yakob said:
As has already been pointed out, pilots need not be replaced with autonomous aircraft to be affected by technological unemployment. If enough other jobs are eliminated and enough people end up structurally unemployed, there will be a decline in consumer demand. The airline industry is very cyclical, and it also depends on large numbers of people having the disposable income to spend on air travel, which is ultimately a luxury.

It has already been pointed out that most taxi and truck drivers will be replaced by automation within the next decade. Right now there are about 3.5 million truck drivers in the USA, and it is indeed the most common profession in the land. Imagine what kind of multiplier effect the loss of 3.5 million jobs will have on the economy as a whole.

Yes, there may be no reliable clothes-folding robot as yet, but I suspect that physical tasks like that will be the most difficult to automate. The easiest jobs to automate will be those that consist of fairly simple, routine physical tasks, or that are purely mental. In fact, many lower-level office-type jobs have already been replaced with software, and it appears that Paralegals will probaby be replaced with automation in the near future as @Soku39 already pointed out. In the long run most white collar jobs except for very specialized ones or executives will likely be replaced with computer systems. I suspect that the last remaining jobs will be highly-skilled blue collar trades and menial, physically intensive jobs that are difficult to automate and that don't pay well now (meaning the employer would save relatively little money by replacing the employees with automation). Besides, most companies are likely to be very eager to replace employees with automation to reduce costs, since employee compensation is the biggest expense for most companies, so it makes sense that most automated system/ robot development would be geared toward helping employers save money on payroll costs.

I seriously hope to be proven wrong about all this, and that those of you who scoff at Technological Unemployment are correct. But it seems to me that the writing is clearly on the wall. The idea of a Dystopian future with Technological Unemployment may be unpalatable but I suspect it will soon be a reality, and by the end of the next recession it will be too apparent to ignore.
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HAHAHAHAHAHAHA! Ok, now I'm positive I can't believe a thing you're saying.

If you believe this, you haven't done a bit of legal research in your life. You know what it's like digging through 30 pages of returns on an search term, only to have to read maybe 30 of those 300 cases that returned? And then research the citation treatment for them? And then figure out how to use them in a brief? That requires a human brain, and it's not something a computer is capable of doing today. It's probably not something that a computer will be capable of doing until it's sentient, and at that point it can make the legal argument too.
 
Louie1975 said:
@Yakob and @Soku39, also, as I'm sure you guys know, in addition to creating a much smaller class of wealthier and wealthier people who may need to safeguard themselves, the additions and merger of technology and biology(Stem Cell Technology, 3-D printing of organs, cellular regeneration etc) will likely make people live longer and healthier. And of course, these treatments may only be available to the wealthy. Making them superior not just intellectually, but biologically as well.

And someone mentioned that corporate management won't be automated. Well guess what, that appears to be on the table too. http://www.cnbc.com/2016/12/22/the-...-secret-algorithm-to-automate-management.html
Click to expand...

Corporate management will absolutely be automated. The worlds largest fund of 5.4 trillion dollars is managed by Black Rock, a fund where their supercomputer Aladdin System "passively" manages most of the wealth. Stock brokers and traders are not long for this world either. As much as I grieve the death of the average person being able to drive for a living I believe these systems will be more rational than a human investor and our economy will not be so susceptible to the boom and bust, much the way that a self driving car, which while it won't be perfect will still be better than any human driver.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/28/...ively-managed-funds-computer-models.html?_r=0

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-...mputers-over-human-stock-pickers-fires-dozens

As far as biological superiority is concerned, well to that end I consider the Matt Damon movie Elysium to be more of a future documentary, than current fiction. ;)

That said if we screw around with "life" and evolution too much, it may come back to haunt us. I find it interesting that no matter how much humans aim to influence the environment, animals and ourselves, nature always finds a way to throw a wrench in our plans. I hope the scientific and medical communities use CRISPR and similar discoveries with restraint, but I seriously doubt that will be the case as there is just too much money to be made. I would however love if we could stop treating stem cells like a religious and moral issue, they're just cells.
 
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Soku39 said:
Corporate management will absolutely be automated. The worlds largest fund of 5.4 trillion dollars is managed by Black Rock, a fund where their supercomputer Aladdin System "passively" manages most of the wealth. Stock brokers and traders are not long for this world either. As much as I grieve the death of the average person being able to drive for a living I believe these systems will be more rational than a human investor and our economy will not be so susceptible to the boom and bust, much the way that a self driving car, which while it won't be perfect will still be better than any human driver.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/28/...ively-managed-funds-computer-models.html?_r=0

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-...mputers-over-human-stock-pickers-fires-dozens

As far as biological superiority is concerned, well to that end I consider the Matt Damon movie Elysium to be more of a future documentary, than current fiction. ;)

That said if we screw around with "life" and evolution too much, it may come back to haunt us. I find it interesting that no matter how much humans aim to influence the environment, animals and ourselves, nature always finds a way to throw a wrench in our plans. I hope the scientific and medical communities use CRISPR and similar discoveries with restraint, but I seriously doubt that will be the case as there is just too much money to be made. I would however love if we could stop treating stem cells like a religious and moral issue, they're just cells.
Click to expand...

https://www.getyarn.io/yarn-clip/bd022bbe-878f-4450-bdc0-31440804ce2d


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
jtrain609 said:
Guys, I don't even have a machine that can wash, dry and then fold my clothes.

We're not being replaced by The Borg anytime soon.

If you've ever actually had to work with developing software or technology, and not just reading dystopian novels about our robotic future, you know that technology doesn't work the way the masses think it does.

I mean my plane can't handle a hard LOC capture without trying to turn itself on its back, I'm not worried about HAL taking over.
Click to expand...
Coupled VNAV is amazing.

Until it decides to rage quit during an approach and keep on driving towards the ground.
 
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