Aviation Downturns

jhugz

Well-Known Member
*First off, I’m typing this on my iPhone so excuse any grammatical mistakes, spelling errors, and run on sentences.*

As many know, I do a good amount of work mentoring pilots both within my legacy airline’s ecosystem but also outside of it too. I’ve been noticing a trend throughout those in the industry that have less than 10+ years of experience that is a little troublesome that I wanted to talk about. That is dealing with the aviation industry down cycles. Over the past couple of years we’ve seen unprecedented growth. People going from CFI to legacy in 5 years or less. Street CA’s being hired at the regionals and jobs galore. Many in the industry only know the good times. Things have slowed down over the past year or so, but we are still seeing amazing growth. Most of the legacies are still hiring or plan to in the near future. Not all regionals are hiring but some still are. Things are getting more competitive but pilot hiring and progression are still very healthy.

Things may have slowed down some, but the amount of “depression” in mentees and others in the industry doesn’t seem proportional. Things can and will get worse at some point in your career. You need to accept that, and figure out how you will cope with that or you will be miserable in this profession for the rest of your life. Ask older pilots about Age 65, the recession, 9/11, etc. These were dark, dark, times in the industry. I hope we never see these events again in our life time, but statistically it’s probably unlikely. If you’re unable to cope with the industry now, how will you for one of these black swan events?

Take care of yourself, especially your mental health. That’s first and foremost. Stop comparing your career to someone else’s. It’s not a race. Have a life outside of aviation. If your whole identity is aviation and your career is suffering in a downturn, it’s incredibly difficult to maintain any resemblance of positivity in your life. Have a support network with friends and family. When things get tough, lean on them.

I’ve seen/heard/read too much talk about how awful this industry is. It’s a tough business but also incredibly rewarding. Not everyone is cut out for it and that’s ok.

Looking back on my career to this point and it’s been a wild, crazy, stressful, infuriating, rewarding ride. I loved every second of it and would do it again in a heartbeat.

/endrant
 
Not a rant, the truth.

Everything happens in a season. Yeah, LeBron James got drafted out of high school and signed-on at $19 million.

But you're not LeBron James. You're still going to get on a team, but the career you have today is unlike the career from five, ten, twenty almost thirty years ago.

"How fast is the upgrade time?" Well, it's not. Will it return? Maybe, maybe not. Besides are you even ready to be a captain or you just saw that guy on IG filming selfies an it looks fun?

"I have 3000 hours and I can't get GlobalJet Airways to call!" — Congratulations, you'd just be about ready to leave AmeriFlight and head to Skywest about 25 years ago because now you finally have competitive times.

The next five years will be like the previous five years and that changes… every… uhhh… five years.
 
I wonder if a lot of these folks got into this industry, or are at least trying to get in, for the wrong reasons. I'm sure someone will take offense to pretty-new to 121 me saying that there are wrong reasons, or "what the hell were your reasons man?". But I'd say that you should have an interest in aviation first. And you shouldn't be doing this job to get rich. That's it. Nothing wrong with trying to get wealthy doing it, but that isn't the vast majority of pro aviation. It just happens to be the life that aviation influencers popularized in the last decade, probably inaccurately in a lot of cases, that young kids are emulating. Maybe an unpopular take
 
I wonder if a lot of these folks got into this industry, or are at least trying to get in, for the wrong reasons. I'm sure someone will take offense to pretty-new to 121 me saying that there are wrong reasons, or "what the hell were your reasons man?". But I'd say that you should have an interest in aviation first. And you shouldn't be doing this job to get rich. That's it. Nothing wrong with trying to get wealthy doing it, but that isn't the vast majority of pro aviation. It just happens to be the life that aviation influencers popularized in the last decade, probably inaccurately in a lot of cases, that young kids are emulating. Maybe an unpopular take

I wanted to go into the Navy because of Top Gun and I wanted to fly F-14’s or F-18’s and didn’t really think about… well, the military. And having to be a Naval officer first and an aviator almost as a tertiary or quaternary priority. It would have been a disaster.

Influencers have their role, somewhere, but it appears that it seems all about jumping onto beds at the end of the day, “this is myyyyyy day in the life” and selfies from the captains seat so a lot of people got invovled with it not realizing there’s a lot of grunt-work, it being cyclical in nature and for every one “OMG! I’m a widebody captain at X years” are probably 100 others out there grinding in the right seat, or the left seat in a much more challenging, lower-paid and unglamorous position in the middle of the night.

So many social media posts about “I can’t believe I’m still an FO” or “narrowbody for life, that last system bid was a DISAPPOINTMENT” or “I should have gone elsewhere”.

Entitlement and irrational exuberance. Few people are broke and we’re really the last island of high pay for minimal effort, once established, in the country.
 
Back
Top