ALPA call to action flight time limits, open to everyone

A1TAPE said:
I have a question about this. Seeing that the last accident, 3407, happened in 09, what are the odds that the accident free trend would have continued if 3407 never crashed. What I mean is if colgan never crashed and the accident free period started in 2207 what would the likelihood have been of being fatal accident free for the past 11 years?
Click to expand...
I don't think anyone has a portal gun to go find out in that alternate universe.
 
A1TAPE said:
chart-airline-safety-act-2010.png

I have a question about this. Seeing that the last accident, 3407, happened in 09, what are the odds that the accident free trend would have continued if 3407 never crashed. What I mean is if colgan never crashed and the accident free period started in 2207 what would the likelihood have been of being fatal accident free for the past 11 years?
Click to expand...

This chart is an excellent example of how correlation doesn’t equal causation. It looks pretty though, and it suits their political agenda...
 
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