Merger Talk Again....Delta CEO Richard Anderson

Malko

ughhh
Staff member
so in the MSP paper last night (complete article, but its a register site.)

Delta CEO Richard Anderson, who formerly led Northwest, raised the prospect of a Delta merger, citing "obvious benefits" for employees, shareholders.

By Liz Fedor, Star Tribune
Last update: October 16, 2007 – 10:23 PM

Richard Sennott , Star Tribune

Richard Anderson, the new CEO of Delta Air Lines and former head of Northwest Airlines, on Tuesday ignited a new round of speculation about airline mergers when he said a Delta deal could have "obvious benefits" for its employees and shareholders.

Anderson did not name a potential merger target for Atlanta-based Delta, but analysts long have argued that Eagan-based Northwest would make a good partner because the carriers' route networks complement each other.

Delta and Northwest held preliminary merger talks while both were in Chapter 11 bankruptcy, but both chose to emerge from bankruptcy this spring as standalone carriers.

Anderson, who was the top executive at Northwest until late 2004, took the unusual step of raising the issue of consolidation in opening comments that he made during his first quarterly earnings conference call with Wall Street analysts as Delta's CEO. During Delta's bankruptcy, management marshaled all its resources to beat back a hostile takeover from US Airways.

Anderson took the reins as CEO in August, and his statements on Tuesday signaled that sentiment toward a merger is shifting within Delta, particularly if Delta takes the lead.

"We are evaluating the best path forward for Delta," Anderson said.

Stressing that "evolution toward a more consolidated industry will continue," he said a merger "could make sense for Delta if it is done thoughtfully from a position of strength."

US Airways CEO Doug Parker and United Airlines CEO Glenn Tilton have for some time been publicly calling for consolidation in the industry, but merger speculation has died down since the US Airways bid for Delta collapsed in January.

In the market for a partner

Bob McAdoo, an airline analyst with Avondale Partners, said Delta now must be considered to be in the market for a partner. "Delta seemed to be saying that it is interested and actively reviewing the possibilities," McAdoo said. "We had previously been of the belief that Delta was unlikely to instigate a merger."

Northwest "is the one carrier we could see as the object of a bidding contest," McAdoo added in a research report. "Northwest's Pacific routes and its relatively smaller size among the six legacy carriers make it the most attractive target partner for almost any legacy bidder."

Kevin Crissey, a UBS Investment Research analyst, agreed that Delta might turn first to Northwest.

"We think Northwest is a more natural partner than United" for Delta, Crissey said.

Ben Hirst, Northwest's senior vice president of corporate affairs and administration, declined to comment on Anderson's remarks or the potential of a future Northwest merger.

In a late August interview, Northwest board chairman Roy Bostock said, "This airline can sustain itself and build itself as an independent airline for the foreseeable future."

However, Bostock added, "If an opportunity opens up where we think we can increase shareholder value and stakeholder value through a consolidation or merger, we'd look at it."

Dave Stevens, chairman of the Northwest pilots union, said, "We have no knowledge of impending mergers involving Northwest or any other airlines."

The pilots union holds a seat on Northwest's board and Steven said Tuesday that the pilots have maintained a merger committee since June 2006, so they will be prepared "if a merger situation develops."

Lee Moak, chairman of the Delta pilots union, met with Anderson hours before he was named Delta's new CEO on Aug. 21.

At that time, Moak wrote to fellow pilots: "Mr. Anderson assured me that he was not selected as CEO to facilitate a merger between Delta and Northwest or any other airline."

Five weeks later, Moak sent another letter to pilots that pointed out that Delta's board of directors "was selected by Delta's creditors during the bankruptcy process."

The Delta board is responsible to Delta's shareholders, Moak said in his Sept. 24 letter, and institutional investors could force Delta into a merger.

Comments still stand

A Delta pilots spokeswoman said Tuesday that Moak's Sept. 24 comments still stand.

Philip Baggaley, a Standard & Poor's credit analyst, said Anderson's comments implied "that Delta could be interested in a merger, but only as a buyer, rather than a target company."

He noted that the costs of acquiring and integrating another airline would carry "considerable risk for the buyer."

The complexities of blending union workforces, company cultures, fleets and debt loads have made airline mergers work better in theory than in practice.

When US Airways was making its takeover bid for Delta, it was being dogged by problems combining ticketing operations and labor forces from its merger with America West.

Pilots from the two carriers still are bitterly divided.

Northwest and Delta pilots are both represented by the Air Line Pilots Association.

Delta's pilots aggressively opposed a merger with US Airways, but Moak testified before a U.S. Senate committee that Delta pilots would support the "right consolidation effort" that had a "rational mix of routes, employees and resources."

Anderson struck a delicate balance Tuesday when he acknowledged the need to satisfy employees and shareholders when considering a merger.

"Our employees are our greatest asset," he said, adding that employee "support is crucial for our continued success."

But he also cited the need to "do our very best to create shareholder value."

Liz Fedor • 612-673-7709

Liz Fedor • lfedor@startribune.com
 
Great. . .I saw this coming, like I'm sure many people did.

"Out employees are out greatest asset...support is crucial for our continued success."

Blah blah blah
 
Before he left, Gerald Grinstein told a Delta PIC seminar 3 things:

1. Delta's goal was to be the largest carrier in LAX. They were targeting Mexico and the Pacific.

2. Western Airlines was "ahead of its time". The West Coast was abandoned when Delta bought Western and moved its assets into East/West service.

3. The best merger candidate for Delta was Alaska Airlines. Why? Alaska has a mature West Coast operation. If you want to be the biggest dog in LAX, you need West Coast feed. You're not getting that from NWA. Alaska, for a small airline, already performs 5 to 7% of ALL US/Mexico flying. The airplanes are compatible.

Remember, Grinstein said it, not me.

From the other side of the equation: Alaska's Annual report has a clause that give the CEO $6M, the COO and CFO $4.5M and the former VP of Flight Ops $3M in the event of a sale. Additionally, these guys are major individual stockholders if you consider their stock options.

If Alaska Air Group were to sell Alaska Airlines, they still have Horizon Airlines. Embrarer has been showing the E-190 family to jets to the Horizon guys in PDX. The Air Group could sell Alaska to Delta and still have an airline to run. They could even rebuild the Alaska system on the West Coast using the Q400s, CRJs and Ejets. Additionally, they would essentially sell their high labor costs since the only group of employees that are Unionized at Horizon are the pilots. The AFA is on the property for the F/As, but it is an open shop and less than 50% of the F/As belong to the Union.

Finally, the death of Bruce Kennedy, Alaska's former CEO and Chairman of the BoD could spell the end of any resistanct to a sale. Mr. Kennedy was the last individual who had personal "pride of ownership" in Alaska Airlines. He and Bruce Cosgrave were the two individuals who saved the airline in the '70s. Now there is no one left in power with that link to the airline. Its all profit and loss to these guys and they stand to profit...big time.
 
A JFK ramper who has an Uncle that has a friend in senior management at Delta told me Delta is all set to buy JetBlue. Northwest would get the Airbuses, the 190s would be sold/distributed to DCI (scope clause--hah!), and Delta would take over the new terminal they so badly need and have total control of JFK for their int'l ops..........end sarcasm...
 
You do bring up a problem with a NWA/DAL combo...fleet differences. In this day and age when fleet consolidation is the rage, why would DAL want a bunch of Airbii. And not just one model, but A320s and A330s?
 
Honestly folks, we've been hearing about merger mania for a few years now. The result: USAir/AmWest and a proposed LCC/DAL, we've seen how successful that has been. Initially the market fell all over themselves and LCC stock hit over $40/share, now the reality has set in and everyone sees it for what it is, an old 737 duct taped together, and shares are now less than $30. Listening to a banker salivating over an airline mergers is like watching wounded zebras out run a hyena. You all do realize that an investment banker (a.k.a. "Wall Street Journal Analyst") makes a living off of merger and acquisition work, right? Move along, nothing to see here.
 
In this day and age when fleet consolidation is the rage, why would DAL want a bunch of Airbii.?

So they could effectively put A and B in price competition with each other for the next big order?

According to the Boyd group (I was bored yesterday ok?:)), the synergies of all A fleets or all B fleets are very overrated when you have as many units of each as NW or DL do. Probably completely offset by being able to get better deals on new orders.
 
A JFK ramper who has an Uncle that has a friend in senior management at Delta told me Delta is all set to buy JetBlue. Northwest would get the Airbuses, the 190s would be sold/distributed to DCI (scope clause--hah!), and Delta would take over the new terminal they so badly need and have total control of JFK for their int'l ops..........end sarcasm...

Oh that one's pretty old!

I'm still putting my money on Alaska, however.

NO merger would be best. Mergers bite fried monkey butt.
 
S'actly. A lot of guys arrived at the airport in the morning in LAX and found a big "Delta" sticker on the side of their Western "Wally Bird" after the marriage was consummated.
 
S'actly. A lot of guys arrived at the airport in the morning in LAX and found a big "Delta" sticker on the side of their Western "Wally Bird" after the marriage was consummated.

or showed up to class one day in new-hire school to a grand celebration of the purchase of TWA. :cool: btdt.
 
When did MacGyver get the urge to merge? I mean, seriously, he should stick to making sci-fi shows.
 
I'm of the opinion that the the end of the second LCC revolution is coming to an end within five years (unless a number of broad, global, non-airline issues suddenly work themselves out spontaneously) and as such I think there will be a lot of US, European, and Asian consolidation in the next decade. Europe's consolidation has already begun.

A lot of y'uns been saying if for awhile and I tend to agree: aviation at it's current technology level is not designed to be cheaper than riding a bus. It can be economical, but <$100 fares cannot support an industry based largely on the consumption of rapidly diminishing (in available supplies) and highly volatile (politically) fossil fuel materials.

One point to remember: the airline industry as a whole ever since it has been conceived to this present point in time has NEVER, NEVER made enough money to show any industry wide profit, even factoring in all historical operations. Investors want results, that is their business.
 
You do bring up a problem with a NWA/DAL combo...fleet differences. In this day and age when fleet consolidation is the rage, why would DAL want a bunch of Airbii. And not just one model, but A320s and A330s?

What would problably occur would be selling of planes (owned) and returning planes back to lessors.

There is a big market for both types currently (A320-A330) more especially in asia and europe.
 
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