Wx Cancellations... ??

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Just be thankful that you have less flights to do and work the flights on your desk that aren’t cancelled.
Did you mean fewer? Or were you just attempting snide?

I guess if you actually care that little about the people who are actually, ultimately paying you to do your, er, job, then rock on broheme!
 
I've a question for all you Major Dxs.

How long before a predicted Wx event can you/do you preemptively cancel flights?

For instance, the Wx 18 hours from now is predicted to be lousy at XYZ, YZX, and ZXY. BigIron Airlines doesn't want its aircraft stuck at XYZ, etc, but would much rather have them stationed at PHX... which while understandable, is completely hypothetical. Can you legitimately cancel multiple flights 16-18 hours in advance of a predicted Wx event and get away with that??? Especially if you end up landing other company flights at XYZ at the time of the predicted cancellation-justifying Wx?

Is there any language in the Contract of Carriage that specifies how far in advance of a predicted Wx event an airline may cancel a flight and still blame the cancellation on Wx??
Different airlines have different names for departments and positions of people who make cancellation decision, but it’s not dispatchers or the pilots that get paid to make that decision. If a flight is not legal or safe to operate I will start delaying that flight until the conditions improve. Eventually the crew will timeout or the “company” will make the decision to cancel that flight. This is standard procedure at passenger airlines (major and regional). I don’t know how it works at other airlines like cargo or part 135.
At part 121 it’s not the dispatcher’s job to look at WX that far out (unless it’s a flight across the world, but that’s not what you were talking about). Just like someone else said, it’s a business decision that the company makes and it’s based on operational needs of that company. Every major looks at weather (possible bad weather) ahead and plans for IROP situations with involvement and input from multiple different departments.
Me, as a dispatcher, worry only about the flights that are taking off (departing) in the next 2-3 hours... Not looking at canceling flights tomorrow afternoon.
Only reason o would look at the WX tomorrow afternoon is if I’m coming back to work tomorrow, I want to know how crappy my day will be.
 
Only reason o would look at the WX tomorrow afternoon is if I’m coming back to work tomorrow, I want to know how crappy my day will be.

I make a serious effort to never look at my next day. I don’t look at the weather until I get to work. We get ample time for turn over and weather briefings so I make it an effort to do my briefings on the clock.
I’d rather be surprised then sit around dreading a work day.
 
Bro, you seem like you need a beer and a nap. You seem a tad worked up.
Yeah, I'm a bit miffed by this. This seems like a scam by the airlines - well, an airline in this case - to reposition its planes for business purposes while blaming cancellations of confirmed flights on Wx so no Pax have to be made good. (Flights that were later proven to have been perfectly possible and legal given the weather at the actual times of the flights.) That kind of stuff really rubs me the wrong way. It profoundly disrupts folks' lives. And it seems like fraud.
 
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As I suspected... Business Decisions, not aviation decisions. And that's right to the heart of the question. Wx cancellations are supposed to based on part 121 regulatory restrictions and/or captain-decided safety-of-flight choices, not what the business office desires. Hell, the business office would rather every customer just gave the company their money and the airline never provided anything. That's the Vegas Commerce Model. That's where the real profits are.
My question is, how does the Contract of Carriage limit that kind of skullduggery?

Ancillary question: Why do you think large corporations are trying to limit the redress power of the people by limiting access to the courts and hobbling the legal profession?
Cancellations are always about business decisions (WX or otherwise). Don’t get that twisted.

Capt can/does make game time play calls for weather but company always dictates whether the game will be played in the first place.

There are huge considerations - passengers, crews, aircraft, station capacity and capability, area hotel availability, service vendors, TSA, Customs, etc and keep in mind the decision makers aren’t just looking at “day of”, they are looking at today and the next few days.
 
Yeah, well, by that logic... the root cause of every airline problem is humans; They invented airlines. Let's rid the world of them all, eh?

Really? A crew legality (schedule) issue is now a Wx issue, and therefore, a passenger cost? Really?? No wonder everyone hates airlines.

Unless I'm severely misunderstanding you, WTF Dude?!? Another acolyte of the Vegas Commerce Program, eh?
I said a wx issue is now a crew legality issue. When you have regional pilots flying 4-5 legs they can easily be times out after you slap a wx delay on them right at the start of their day. You simply cannot have enough crew and aircraft sitting around to cover every scenario some days.
Look at it this way... If you have a mx delay driving a crew legality then the flight now cancels for mx, although nowadays everyone just delays until the next for controllable delays.
Is some of it a scam as to whether to cancel for wx vs a controllable cancel? Probably, but most are honestly just good customer service. I'd rather my flight cancel before I go sit at the airport for 6 hours waiting on an aircraft that won't make it because the blizzard timed the crew out.
 
Every airline has their own policies and strategies for wx cancellations. As a few have said, it is not the lone dispatcher who makes the official call to cancel. If they have any concerns about the flight (unable to dispatch) they communicate that to usually the Dispatch Coordinators, Superintendents of Dispatch (SODs), or whatever that airline calls them. Those people then make the cancellations in conjunction with operational management. I've seen one airline pre-cancel 18-24 hours out while others won't cancel till the airport is NOTAM'd closed or below landing mins. When prepping for a Wx event it comes down to impact and confidence of impact. For major winter storms, the fine details of timing and impact don't become somewhat solid till really 1-2 days out and some airlines will pre-cancel once they are confident. On the other hand, fog is extremely hard to predict (coming from a man who had to forecast fog at DEN). You will almost never see preemptive cancellations due to fog.
 
When I worked in DX, the sups or the DM made the call WRT cancellations; DXers didn't make the decision to cancel. All the DXer did was relay the info to the out station, ATC, etc. Every airline is different and has its own way of doing things, so YMMV...
 
I've also been at a place that had a bunch of MX and as soon as a forecast came out that made a destination illegal, they cancelled that due to weather instead of maintenance. 30 minutes later an updated forecast came out that removed the worst of it but the cancel was already justified.

At a regional you always find a way to make a cancel uncontrollable.
 
You make it sound like the airlines are all like “what flight is crop duster on 2 days from now? Ok yeah he’s trying to go to xyz. FK that guy let’s cxl his flight... yeah there’s probably some clouds that day so cxl for wx.. that’ll really piss him off”

When in reality they are looking at the whole system and analyzing the possible outcomes from each scenario trying to ride it out as long as possible on the decision to cxl or not. They don’t want to cxl and lose the revenue, but like what who’swho mentioned earlier: they don’t want to string you along and then cxl after you are already there and have been getting told for 10 hours by the gate/ops/counter whatever else the other airlines call them, agent that your flight has been delayed again.

Can you think of one industry that provides a service for money that doesn’t occasionally have to disrupt that service, inconveniencing their customer in some way?

At the end of the day sometimes airlines cxl flights and sometimes it is directly or indirectly because of weather. No they most likely won’t provide food vouchers or hotels for that, but they will rebook you or give you your money back and you can move on to plan B.
 
Just remember, as a Part 121 dispatcher, you hold operational control, but not business decisions. What that means for the person that doesn’t seem to understand is that while some regulation says you have the ability to cancel flights, you actually have the ability to relay those wishes to someone who will make a business decision, which is beyond your control. Your job is to make sure your active flights are completed safely, their job is to provide you with flights. You see small scale, they see large scale. Was that clear enough?
 
SouthernJets doesn’t actually cancel. They just delay flights 10 hours or they artificially cancel via a 20L cancel code and build an extra section for completion factor metrics.


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