Why # of aircraft will double in 20 years

FlyMarines09

FlyMarines09

Well-Known Member
Let me make sure I have this right... Air travel demands are going to double and therefore the number of aircraft flying at once/per day are likely to double as well, is that right? How do you think that's going to affect airline ticket costs? If I recall, there are only around 125,000 CPLs and 144,000 ATPs to date. Will becoming a pilot be easier during this time?
 
Have a source? Air travel has declined over the last 10 years. At best it'll resume post 9/11 levels if I were a betting man. I'll leave the potential bitter posts and doom scenarios to the pilots here.
 
So the world's population looks like it will be around 8.5 billion people in 2030 (~25% increase at the current rate). So, yes, if the number of (manned) airplanes in the air doubles and the portion pilots in the population stays the same, I would expect the demand for pilots increase.

However, I don't quite understand why the demand would double with only a 25% increase unless the price is right. It may be that a portion of the current population does not use air travel, but it is expected to become more common in 20 years (i.e., Brazil, Russia, India, and China).
 
Aviation will grow, but it will grow in areas of economic growth. That's three growths in one sentence. Ack.
 
I state of the art US Military drone ended up in Iran. It is highly unlikely you as a civilian pilot have anything to fear in the near future.
 
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