Save your pennies (aka what will you do after your job is automated)

Cptnchia said:
Here’s the issue. Not a single airliner flying today can be modified and recertified to be single pilot. Delta just announced today the acquisition of 200 airplanes, for delivery starting in 3 years. To meet your 5 year prediction, single pilot part 25 certified transport aircraft must have already been built and undergoing testing today, to be available for delivery in the next 5 years.

Will it happen? Eventually. But most likely not within the next 30 years.
Click to expand...

Not only that, but if this was 5-10 years down the road. Why would Boeing be dropping $20 bil, on the R&D and production of a new plane, the 797?? Which its controls will be manipulated by people. Also, Airbus would be in the red, with their shiny new A350. 5-10 yrs. Nope. 30-50 years away, yes.
 
Maximillian_Jenius said:
Not only that, but if this was 5-10 years down the road. Why would Boeing be dropping $20 bil, on the R&D and production of a new plane, the 797?? Which its controls will be manipulated by people. Also, Airbus would be in the red, with their shiny new A350. 5-10 yrs. Nope. 30-50 years away, yes.
Click to expand...

It's going to have a yoke. You know, so a pilot can use mechanical advantage to turn that "0" into a "1" in the fly-by-wire coding. Don't get me started about the trim switch.
 
Maximillian_Jenius said:
Not only that, but if this was 5-10 years down the road. Why would Boeing be dropping $20 bil, on the R&D and production of a new plane, the 797?? Which its controls will be manipulated by people. Also, Airbus would be in the red, with their shiny new A350. 5-10 yrs. Nope. 30-50 years away, yes.
Click to expand...

That’s a pretty bold assumption there! :bounce:
 
Cptnchia said:
That’s a pretty bold assumption there! :bounce:
Click to expand...

kWlrj.gif
 
wheelsup said:
Getting here a lot faster than you think

https://www.engadget.com/2017/12/13/autonomous-helicopter-completes-marine-resupply-simulation/

http://t.co/DphnC148d9?amp=1

I'm stuffing as much as I can away but I truly wonder what will happen with society as more and more jobs become automated. Companies can't make money if no one is earning it to spend it.

I can see single pilot airliners within five years.
Click to expand...

5 years? Bless yer heart for thinking the FAA acts that fast.
 
Maximillian_Jenius said:
Not only that, but if this was 5-10 years down the road. Why would Boeing be dropping $20 bil, on the R&D and production of a new plane, the 797?? Which its controls will be manipulated by people. Also, Airbus would be in the red, with their shiny new A350. 5-10 yrs. Nope. 30-50 years away, yes.
Click to expand...
The autopilot can already fly it without using the controls.

Why would it having a yoke matter?
 
learhawkerbe400 said:
Oh look, another thread about pilotless airplanes.

That’s it. I’m quitting flying, becoming a plumber, living frugally in a van down by the river and investing everything in cryptocurrencies.

I’m also going to start doomsday prepping. Because technological unemployment.
Click to expand...
I thought the technology was neat and something new. You didn't have to click the thread!
 
wheelsup said:
You're extremely confident in your assumptions, which is all they are.

Our jobs are but a pen stroke away from being gone, we are here by regulation only not because it generates revenue.

You're comparing today's computing technology to twenty years ago? Really? I just can't even...
Click to expand...


And you are fairly confident in YOUR assumption. Which is all your argument is. Nothing but an assumption.
 
If we got to single pilot, how does anyone ever gain any real experience? And with a newby in the left seat, accidents will go up. I think it’s coming, but no way we see this in a large scale in 5 years.
 
Kingairer said:
If we got to single pilot, how does anyone ever gain any real experience? And with a newby in the left seat, accidents will go up. I think it’s coming, but no way we see this in a large scale in 5 years.
Click to expand...
I think we'll get to a point where machines are better at humans and will have less accidents and incidents. I wouldn't be surprised to in time see the system mandated similar to TCAS and GPWS.
 
Maximillian_Jenius said:
Machines can be hacked.

Oh and this:

Click to expand...

Yes but if accident and incident rates are less, it still brings benefit.

If self driving cars still cause accidents but at a rate 1/10 of human drivers, would you say they should not be used?

I think it will get that way with cars too. Auto driving cars will be mandated like anti skid and airbags.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top