So instead of forcing people to upgrade, why doesn't the company, ya know, pay them well enough to upgrade? What happens if the one being bent over the upgrade barrel says no? Terminated? What if said upgrade candidate flops on the checkride or IOE? Will he get to return to the right seat? All of this garbage points to an up or out policy and that is a very perilous path to walk upon. All of this stuff being "negotiated" and done without the input of the membership. Your union dues became taxation without representation.
Interesting questions. And the captain pay improvement is supposedly is in the works.
There are provisions, case by case, for guys to talk to the Chiefs/company to explain why they should not upgrade and they shouldn't be forced if the reason is good enough.
It remains to be seen what the consequences might be if someone refuses a forced upgrade with no good reason for it.
With the flow and reserve rule changes, plus the holiday season being over, there may be enough FOs choosing to upgrade that the lack of upgrades may reduce enough for the forced upgrade to be a rare thing. Time will tell on that.
Upgrade was not very difficult though in my opinion. The one guy who struggled in my class, we all saw it coming, and even he passed, albeit on a recheck. 11/12 first time goes though. You just have to focus and work hard during training, but that's the same thing we all did to get through FO training. Every pilot at this airline currently already has the PIC typerating, so the ride shouldn't be that hard. By the time someone goes for upgrade, unless they are a DEC they should have done this same ride from the right seat several times. If they can't pass it, does that mean they struggle to pass their FO recurrent rides too? If that's the case, if they are that marginal, should they even be in the industry?
A rumor I heard recently is that AA has seen an increased amount of marginal pilots making it to mainline via the flow (big surprise right?). AA doesn't like it and may be looking at ways to tweak things to get more screening on the flows, such as requiring flows to have been a captain at their regional.