Without combing through all the NTSB narrative, wasn't the final conclusion basically that there was no known or understood source for ignition in the fuel tank? In other words, there are thousands of airliners flying around with vapor in their fuel tanks every day and this is the one time a wire arced and blew up an entire airplane?
Yes, it's right there in the probable cause paragraph, as stated by the NTSB. It IS known that the CWT detonated. That's not in contention. What isn't clear is
what detonated the CWT, or even whether the CWT detonation was an initiating event, or an event secondary to something else.
The NTSB admits in the probable cause that the answer to the above is not known, but their
best guess theory (to riterate: a theory, not known factual), is the stray voltage from wiring.
To me, as the unbiased investigator that I strive to be; this equates to a "we know what happened up to event X, but beyond that we don't have any hard evidence to go by." Therefore the probable cause of the accident is truly unknown, and should read as such in order to be honestly accurate: "....detonation of the 747 CWT, the initiating event of which could not be
conclusively determined with the available recovered evidence." From there, if they want to give a "best guess", they can, and did, and even labeled it as-such in the probable cause. However....and here's where I have issue....... over the years, that "best guess" has morphed into THE ACTUAL cause of the accident. And that is not factually correct. But even the NTSB has fallen for this along with many of their people, even though their own written probable cause states "best guess" not "actual occurance". Therefore, it's highly disingenuous to make that connection between the two, when there is no conclusive evidence to do so.
Now, does this automatically make this accident a bomb or missile? No, it doesn't. Those will need their own evidence. but speaking on mechanical malfunction only; at best, this is an unknown.
I'm not jumping on board with the missile theory by any means, but to outright laugh at the people who question the NTSB report and ridicule them like bigfoot hunters is completely inconsistent with the critical thinking skeptics' way.
The film itself has an unfortunate bias toward the missile theory, but it makes a few respectable claims with regard to a contaminated investigation. If the naysayers in here won't address that claim, I'll assume they just lack the ability to debate at a middle school level.
I haven't seen the film yet, my knowledge goes only from my own background in investigation, having followed this accident since watching live coverage of it on TV back in 1996, and having visited the completed the mockup and heard the theory which is now being touted as absolute fact somehow.
I am curious however how the front half of a 747 can get chopped off inflight, and the rest of the airframe makes a smooth 3000' climb, without being affected by the massive aft CG shift that would occur, or the wings never exceeding critical AOA. Was this ever tried with a scale model of a 747? I would doubt an aircraft having that occur would climb 3000 ft. There is precedence for damage similar occurring: The 1971 midair collision between between a Hughes AirWest DC-9 and a USMC F-4B Phantom east of Los Angeles. In that accident though, the F-4 pretty much cut off only the cockpit of the DC-9, not nearly half the fuselage and thus not nearly as severe a CG shift aft; even so, the DC-9 only flew on for about 10 seconds before spiraling down to earth.
http://forums.jetcareers.com/threads/look-out-to-live.92882/#post-1255353