Hi!
The numbers of licensed pilots at EVERY level has been going down for about 10 years. There are only so many non-121 jobs for pilots. If you can't get one of those, you will need to flight instruct to build your 1500 hours...but how will it work, if the ATP is required for -121?
Let's say you're an instructor with 12 students. You have 500 TT. You add an average of 1 student per month, and it takes them 12 months to make it to CFI. To start our example the FI/student ratio is 1:12. At the end of 01/2013, 1 student graduates to CFI, you add a student, and the CFI guy now goes to work for your flight school, as there are no other openings, in non-CFI positions, because they are already filled by guys trying to get 1500 hours.
So, now there are 2 instructors, and 12 students. In 02/2013, you have another student graduate to CFI, and another new student. Now you have 3 instructors and 12 students. Your monthly hours are going down, but you have nowhere else to go. 03/2013, 4 instructors, 12 students. 04/2013, 5 instructors and 12 students. 05/2013, 6 instructors and 12 students.
How long will it take all these instructors to get their 1500 hours? As the months go by, and there are less and less pilots with their 1500 hrs and their ATP, what will the regionals do?
cliff
NBO