The only aspect I can shed light on the discussion is what has been mentioned previously, by avery, among others.
Take the plane out of the equation.
What you have left is a low time pilot. Statistics by the FAA among other sources, quote that the accident rate among sub 1000 hour pilots is greater than 1000+ hour pilot.
Now put into context training. Sure, the airlines send their new hires to flight safety or other places, and this trains the aircraft system and company profiles to the pilot - but it does *NOTHING* to alter their amount of experience.
So lets throw CRM into the equation. Why do Captains have more hours than FOs, (generally speaking)? Experience.
What I'm trying to do here is isolate the components instead of lumping them together. This is not emperical logic when there are so many variables. So take the variables out to isolate the components and you get a general picture.