OK, let's do a thought experiment, JC. That's reasonably non-confrontational, isn't it?
So. There's no longer such a thing as a "screw up". Or if there is, then certainly, those who have been victimized by the System and have commited these "screw ups" aren't worthy of being sent to hit the bricks and peddle their wares elsewhere. No! They've been failed by The System! There are no losers, just winners-in-waiting! There are only actions that are taken by people who are insufficiently trained. Which, presumably, can be corrected by right-thinking new-age "non-judgmental" training programs. Oh, you forgot where the airspeed indicator was? Gosh, guess we failed you again! Here you go, we'll put neon in the instrument. Bad pilot, BAD! Don't do it again! Here, have a chewtoy. GOOD pilot.
Forget about the people who die in agony in the back (they're just pax, after all...numbers! This is a numbers game!), let's talk about pilots. If nothing is your fault, then nothing is your responsability either. You're just another redundant component which might malfunction from time to time (hey, everyone does!). I think it's high time that we recognize that we have all the free will, anima, and legitimacy of a broken sprocket. It's the new reality, and we'd best consign ourselves to it. Who's really flying this airplane? Uhm, not sure. The Safety Department? Dunno, NOT ME, anyway! I'm just here for the view and the free peanuts.
First off, this thread reminds me of
http://xkcd.com/386/.
OK, now back to your "thought experiment". The problem is that you have so focused in on your position, that you are excluding what is actually being said here (confirmation bias and some of this
https://medium.com/editors-picks/adfa0d026a7e).
The problem here is that you are actually missing the point here. Let me put this in a different context, and there are two separate items here to consider:
1. Is our justice system working? Do higher punishments actually deter crime? (if you do not know the answer to these, I suggest search scholar.google.com);
2. Do higher punishments make a professional (pilots, doctors, mechanics, etc.) to be more careful?;
Now, let me clarify what we mean by "just culture". There are three levels. Do not read into these, they are very simple:
• Human error – an inadvertent action; inadvertently doing other that what should have been done; slip, lapse, mistake.
• At-risk behavior – a behavioral choice that increases risk where risk is not recognized, or is mistakenly believed to be justified.
• Reckless behavior – a behavioral choice to consciously disregard a substantial and unjustifiable risk.
Now, let's look again at our two questions. In the first case, I think we would agree that most "crimes" would fall into the reckless category. The individual gets hammered in that case, but there are times when we are doing that but probably shouldn't. In most countries, a pilot that crashes an airplane is subject to CRIMINAL penalties. Do you think they should? What about doctors?
Let's start with errors. An error is something that we know, through studies of human performance (that came about very recently, and were not available to law makers who wrote the foundation of Western law several hundred years ago) that humans are going to miss things in certain situations. We also know that human memory is a LOT worse than we ever thought it was (the entire legal use of witnesses is deeply flawed as a consequence).
So, let's use the witness issue. As we now can PROVE that a person will literally "create" a "memory" to fill in gaps and match their expectations, let's say a witness says something that is later provably false on a witness stand. Was that an intentional error or the product of human fallibility? If it was the former, then there are legal repercussions, but if the latter, there is a different outcome and it should be considered an "error", as we should (and we REALLY should) know that humans are really poor at this sort of cognitive task.
How about we set up a scenario where a flight crew is REQUIRED to use a certain amount of automation, and they get so caught up programming it that they lose SA and crash their airplane? Should we not know in advance that we are creating a situation where someone is going to be subject to attentional narrowing?
At-Risk:
Suppose there is a brand new medical device that a doctor just got into her office. She has not been trained on it, but understands essentially how it works. A patient shows up who has the medical problem the new device was designed to help. If nothing is done, the patient will die. Now, there are several possible outcomes:
1. The doctor could use the device:
Possible outcome A: Patient is saved
Possible outcome B: Patient dies, possibly because doctor was not yet trained or possibly could not be saved.
2. The doctor does not use the device:
Possible outcome: Patient dies.
Possible outcome: Patient lives as a result of a miracle, but this is VERY low probability.
Ok, so the doctor has a choice. If she chooses not to use the device, the patient dies. Would she be legally liable for choosing not to use a device she has not been trained on at all? I think the answer is obvious that it would be a strong affirmative defense in a court of law.
If the doctor chooses to use a device she was not trained for, she is now violating a procedure knowingly, even though it is the only possible way for the patient to live in this scenario. If the patient lives, she is a hero! If the patient dies, do you think she would be legally liable? You can be pretty sure that the patient's estate would sue and win in this scenario, as she was clearly negligent trying to use a device that she was not trained on.
Take another example You are driving on the highway. Posted speed limit is 45, but the road is clear and open and there are no other hazards of any sort present. All the traffic is driving 65. Do you drive 45, with cars slamming on their brakes when they see you, then passing you, or is it less risk to keep with the flow of traffic? If you choose the latter, that is "at-risk", as you are doing the wrong thing, technically, but you are trying to do it for the right reason (keep things safer).
Finally, let's look at "reckless". Now, let's take the same traffic situation but this time there are workers present, all the other cars are driving at 45 and the road is icy. You choose to drive 65, holding your beer and saying "watch this". That is reckless, and you deserve to be hammered.
Just culture does not excuse bad behavior at all. On the contrary. However, it also creates a framework for really looking at the situation and looking deeper to see if there was extenuating circumstances.
Perhaps one other way to look at it: If we take away someones food supply, are they still a criminal if they try to steal food for their dying child, or is that justifiable? What if the person who has plenty of food steals the food from a person trying to feed their child? Is that different? If you think that the former was justifiable while the latter is not, then you should agree with the "Just Culture".