TaterSalad said:
On a related tangent, I've seen the arguments that airline opps have never been safer, despite the low time pilots being hired.........I say this is only because the aircraft most of these low time pilots are flying are damn near foolproof. It's when something goes horribly wrong, and they've got no more than 200-300 hrs flying something that isn't completely automated, that we'll see the aforementioned accident.
Can't argue with your last comment, but here's this:
When I started in this business there was a heavy emphasis on experience to handle emergencies. This was especially true at my company. Turned out this was a flawed approach and it really showed up as new jets with the need for new procedures came on line.
I've been here to see many of the human factors things implemented that most of you take for granted today. CRM, standardization of procedures and training, training in proper use of automation, etc.
Additionally when I started there were two things that were causing frequent accidents. Ground icing and windshear encounters in the terminal area. All the experience that pilots had were leading them to believe they could takeoff with a little snow or ice on the airplane and they could takeoff or land through a thunderstorm. These accidents were vitrually annual events. They were stopped by taking judgment out of the equation. Experience was the enemy in these cases.
I can give you other examples where "experience" was a negative. Weather radar was one. It was something you were supposed to learn with experience. Most line pilots didn't know how to use it and what they thought they had learned from experience was actually wrong. You could easily train a 250 hour pilot to know much more about weather radar than the typical grizzled captain. (What you couldn't do is convince the captains they didn't know squat.)
And of course the airplanes today are better. More integrated. More powerful. Much better ergonomics. I've just finished training on a "classic" 1960s designed airplane after having spent several years in more modern glass cockpits. That really drove home just how far we have come in 30 or 40 years.
So things are safer, actually much safer, than when I came into this industry in the 70s. Good training can trump experience. The dirty truth is that many of those old captains whose experiences we all envy, were not as safe as today's well trained, well equipped regional pilots. Safety and experience are not synonyms. But I will hardily agree that good training combined with high experience levels is the optimum situation.