ctab5060X
Well-Known Member
I mean... I think the only safe bet is that no one knows what is going to happen in the future. After all the growth is done, could we become the next Endeavor/ASA/XJT? Perhaps. But only if the industry stagnates like it did post 9/11 and something keeps the majors and llc's from hiring. Or (the outcome I foresee and hope for), we could continue to hire for attrition off the top even after the growth ends and still offer a reasonable upgrade time and path to AA. But, a million things can change between now and the end of 2017 (when we are projected to be at "optimum fleet capacity"). So literally no one knows what will happen with any of the regionals. I do think it is safe to say that if you want to work at AA, you will likely need to go through a wholly owned. Of those wholly owneds, PSA has the best advantage for the foreseeable future. And if you don't want to work at AA, PSA offers a relatively quick upgrade for the next couple years and you will get the coveted TPIC time and be even more competitive for whatever job you seek.
The only safe bet is that Doug Parker & Co. are going to whipsaw Envoy, Piedmont, and PSA against each other to keep costs down.
Looking at the numbers they publish every quarter, AA's regional feed is costing them money every quarter.