Alaska Hawaiian Merger

How many conversions to short call are you averaging a month?
SFO or me specifically? I don’t know because I’ve had a line since PBS started. Was really surprised to end up with reserve for August because I didn’t put anything that would have kept me from getting a line. Bunch of people junior got RLL lines with the second half of the month off.
 
I don’t know because I’ve had a line since PBS started.
Oh dang. Didn’t realize that. People’s’ bidding is different in the summer, kids outta school and families traveling. September i think you’ll go back to something more normal.
 
Oh dang. Didn’t realize that. People’s’ bidding is different in the summer, kids outta school and families traveling. September i think you’ll go back to something more normal.
Like I said, flying falls off a cliff second half. Bunch of people junior got RLL lines working the first half of the month, and there’s open time. Wish I’d thrown in a backup RLL bid, would have been awesome to either have half the month off or be able to pick out of SEA to fill it up. Oh well
 
Dang. More receipts than in my grandma’s kitchen.

Yeah it went to a 9 year guy not a 10 year guy. Off by a few months.
So from your personal experience, would you not recommend someone taking the first upgrade?

Depends on when one wants to upgrade. Latest in my base was 2007 hire. So judging by that I would take first available. It's too bad my peers are more concerned with working on days off than improvements for reserve. Things are going to move extremely slowly until the SLI. After that it will get really bad if the Amazon flying goes away.

I wouldn't go out and buy a new Porshe 911 if I were an FO. But hey. A guy like me will buy that at auction for 50K in 2027.
 
No more scheduling going forward. New “meet the chiefs” format coming.🙄

Oh gotcha, must have missed an email. To be fair, the availability window every week was very small. Not sure how they figured they would be able to meet the demand with that.
 
Don’t worry when over 100 captain positions are created in PDX your little buddy will be able to upgrade.

Do we need to send someone to check on you? Because you went over to APC and posted the exact same thing 4 hours later

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My guess is more Max 8s, they have the performance to do all the Arctic flying, the greater fuel burn on short legs won’t make a big difference, and they could still fly them to the islands. Engine start times might make quick turns a little slower for inter-island flying (but I don’t know if that’s ultimately a deal breaker). Max 7s would be cool, but if management wanted them I think they would have ordered them already.
still sounds like no decisions on this or what to replace the -700s with. Having just left the schoolhouse they sound pretty dead set against cycling any flavor of max that much.

Also, regarding hiring: 20 this year and 100 in 1Q next year basically replaces retirements for 24-25, at least if the APC retirement numbers are close (can’t find the union attrition lists right now so not sure how right APC is). So two things. 1, keeping that in mind for when anyone tries to describe that as “growth”. 2, it does make it seem more likely that some or all of that will actually happen.
 
First merger?


My experience from mergers, the combined entity doesn’t grow for the first couple years. Things get “right sized.” Eg, fleets eliminated, flying lost, etc.



My bets:

* Amazon goes away entirely
* HNL 787 closes
* Long term dual fleet only, 787s and 737/MAX


If you think “growth” is coming anytime soon, probably in for a rude awakening.


Oh, and demand and yields still suck industry wide.
 
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still sounds like no decisions on this or what to replace the -700s with. Having just left the schoolhouse they sound pretty dead set against cycling any flavor of max that much.

Also, regarding hiring: 20 this year and 100 in 1Q next year basically replaces retirements for 24-25, at least if the APC retirement numbers are close (can’t find the union attrition lists right now so not sure how right APC is). So two things. 1, keeping that in mind for when anyone tries to describe that as “growth”. 2, it does make it seem more likely that some or all of that will actually happen.

SFO will likely close. Apparently R.L. is telling CQ ground school classes that.

SAN terminal opens up in September for phase 1. So looking like a displacement bid? Could be a SAN base opening. Rather than just reducing SFO with a lot of downgrades and FO’s displaced out of various bases.

239 mainline aircraft EOY 2019. 245 now. Not really growth.
 
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