10 Warning Signs of a Market Crash in 2015
- Thread starter chrisreedrules
- Start date
chrisreedrules
Master Blaster
I mean, I definitely had some nice gains this past year, but I'm playing the long game. I don't think the current trajectory is sustainable. In fact I think there will be a hard correction in the coming year or two.
Cessnaflyer
Wooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo
https://advisors.vanguard.com/iwe/pdf/DecPodcastTranscript.pdf?cbdForceDomain=true great listening/reading. I have to agree with the outlook. It's not going to be great but it's going to be multiple years before there will be a big correction. One piece of advice I liked was that in ten years you'll be kicking yourself that you weren't buying even if there was a correction because nothing will be as cheap it is today!
Cessnaflyer
Wooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo
I wish my 401k could be with Vanguard.
Vanguard and Ally are the only two banking/investing outfits I have been continuously impressed by.
fly22
Well-Known Member
So how low will it go and when will that drive for that low point start?
If I had that clear of a crystal ball I would be a friggin billionaire.
1- I have a coupe ideas on how low ill share privately.
2- I'm not planning on shorting it so it doesn't matter to me when it starts.
Indeed it has. I know the Mpls Fed President had some differing view from the rest of the FOMC but it will be interesting to see how it all pans out. I will see him tomorrow at work and actually attending a meeting where he gives a 'year in review'. I have heard nothing from him about such an event. looking forward to what he has to say for sure. Working for the Federal Reserve has definitely provided an insight that I have not had before, even though all of the information is publicly available. The question around work is who will replace him. There are a few Fed presidents that are moving on so it is indeed interesting times.....
jynxyjoe
Queso King
In other news, more recessions will happen, the economy will have ups and downs. Thanks Obama.
Save now, buy when the recession hits, make money. All your homes, are belong to us.
@Boris Badenov still waiting for your uprising.
Save now, buy when the recession hits, make money. All your homes, are belong to us.
@Boris Badenov still waiting for your uprising.
Boris Badenov
Fortis Leader
Hey, I'm just the idea guy. We need a bullet catc...er leader out front waving the banner. Say. now that you mention it, YOU seem like a tough, decisive kind of dude!
As for save now buy later, the real bastard cynic in me says borrow now, save later. People who save wind up bailing everyone else out in one fashion or another, every time.
dasleben
That's just, like, your opinion, man
Happens every 8-10 years, without fail.
I start getting nervous when the media starts getting too optimistic about the market. Usually means the latecomers will start piling in, buying into large-scale institutional selling. I think we're already seeing it, or at least the start of it. There's also some divergence between indices, with the small-caps flattening out this year. The sharp drop in oil futures isn't exactly a great sign, either. Just some thoughts.
jynxyjoe
Queso King
LOL. You take me for rube comrade? Phhtaw
We need great leader,
Happens every 8-10 years, without fail.
I start getting nervous when the media starts getting too optimistic about the market. Usually means the latecomers will start piling in, buying into large-scale institutional selling. I think we're already seeing it, or at least the start of it. There's also some divergence between indices, with the small-caps flattening out this year. The sharp drop in oil futures isn't exactly a great sign, either. Just some thoughts.
Irrational exuberance.
Autothrust Blue
Welcome aboard the Washington State Ferries
Helllooooo asset bubbles.
Screaming_Emu
Well-Known Member
Yup. Other than having a 401k, I really couldn't give a rats ass about what wall street is doing. How bout everyone else who doesn't invest (i.e.....most people).
D
Deleted member 27505
Guest
Ah, the dismal science. Raising its ugly head again. Most of the spreads mentioned are total BS fundamentally. (If for no other reason than they are highly manipulated by those who would seek to profit by cheating.) HOWEVER, they are watched with religious fervor by the vacuous minions of Wall Street. THEREFORE, they matter. IOW, what matters is the 100th monkey, not so much the numbers themselves. When enough monkeys act in a certain fashion, all the other monkeys will follow. The markets will reflect the psychology commensurately. Yet another salient example of what's wrong with pretty much everything these days... By and large we are all just monkeys... monkeys with BMWs wishing we had Ferraris, or Maseratis, or whatever the other, "better" monkeys have. Perhaps someday before we trash everything we'll realize that a nice ripe banana is ENOUGH.
D
Deleted member 27505
Guest
BEEN THERE, DONE THAT!!!! Like 3 or 4 times now. What a chump, huh? Acting responsibly is for douchebags, like me. Sucks to be me.
Boris Badenov
Fortis Leader
Don't worry, buddy, I'm just as dumb a monkey.
Roger Roger
Bottom of the list
Well, I mean, when the guys that caused the last crash become the next generation of regulators. ..
Roger Roger
Bottom of the list
Doesn't it sort of concern anyone that if these various dismal predictions are correct, the only reason our economy even sort of got going again was that the fed was lending money basically (or in some instances actually) for free? I mean as far as I can tell there isn't a material asset bubble like the real estate one going, it's more of, well, a currency bubble which seems like it should be a little worrying. But then again all the talking heads who stand to gain from the repeating cycle tell us that's normal so I guess imma get back to the dirt farm like the rube I am...
gotWXdagain
Polished Member
That would make it a credit bubble.