Get ready folks!

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I left them out because, with the exception of Southwest and Alaska, they didn't exist pre-deregulation. Ok, so there are 8 carriers. My basic point still holds true. Where once there existed dozens of viable carriers, we are now down to less than 10, due to mergers and consolidations. And yet, the industry still does not make money.

I yi. . .it is real simple - but I know some don't want to acknowledge it.

The industry does not make money because the INDUSTRY does not charge an appropriate rate for the services the industry provides.

Some want to get more complicated than that. . .fine, whatever. If these companies charged an appropriate rate for the services I wouldn't be surprised if they actually turned a nice profit year after year.

They have to keep up for inflation, cost of oil, etc.

But, they don't - and would rather chop the knees off of their labor force to try to save two cents. It's ridiculous.
 
I think the industry doesn't make any money right now because the public sees seats as a commodity. There are a few things that help differentiate the different airlines but as a whole the bottom denominator is cost.

This is opposed to let's say the food industry. TGI Fridays costs more than Wendy's but there is a definite difference in quality, whereas Delta and say Airtran have pretty much the same service - they take you from point A to B. There's a reasonable expectation that both crews are qualified and both airplanes are maintained well.
 
I yi. . .it is real simple - but I know some don't want to acknowledge it.

The industry does not make money because the INDUSTRY does not charge an appropriate rate for the services the industry provides.

Some want to get more complicated than that. . .fine, whatever. If these companies charged an appropriate rate for the services I wouldn't be surprised if they actually turned a nice profit year after year.

They have to keep up for inflation, cost of oil, etc.

But, they don't - and would rather chop the knees off of their labor force to try to save two cents. It's ridiculous.

Take that, airline pricers and everyone with a PhD in economics. Surreal has solved the airlines' problems!!! Hurrah!!

Don't you think they would charge more if it would assure them a profit? Clearly it does not.
 
Take that, airline pricers and everyone with a PhD in economics. Surreal has solved the airlines' problems!!! Hurrah!!

Don't you think they would charge more if it would assure them a profit? Clearly it does not.

And airline managers have SUCH a great track record.
 
Could it be that the industry is simply unmanageable?

That's debatable, and there are some examples that would seem to contradict that such as Southwest, Alaska and AirTran.

But they don't have the same infrastructure as the legacy carriers do. Honestly? I think re-regulation is the answer. The free market economy doesn't really seem to work with this industry, nor do I think it ever will. I think as a general rule it's (nearly) impossible to make money in a safety oriented industry. There are simply too many safety factors that over ride the economics of operating efficiently.
 
It isn't? If you know it isn't, then you must know the answer.

So what is it, oh great one?

Logical fallacy. If I hit my head off something and got a bruise, but I don't know what it is, I can say with high confidence that it likely wasn't a pillow.

That doesn't mean I know what it was, I just know what it wasn't.

As someone said earlier, airline travel is seen as a commodity. There is no difference in service betwixt any two airlines... Sure, you get meals on Continental, but if it makes your ticket cost $20, it's not worth it. Raising prices will not work because 1) to get everybody onboard would likely be seen as "collusion". 2) Carriers that have low CASMs wouldn't raise their prices and see a dramatic increase in traffic and thus, profits.

I'd venture to say that right now, the airlines are a net neutral. A few losers, a few winners, and the consumer wins big in all this. The system works, no need for regulation.
 
Pricing may not be the sole problem, but wouldn't you say it is part of the problem? There is so much competition, especially from LCCs, but also among the legacy carriers, themselves, that it is almost impossible to raise prices. If the airlines merge, thus creating less competition, doesn't it allow the airlines to better control pricing?

If the cost to produce a product, or provide a service, increases, most companies will raise the price of said product, or service, to counter the increase in their cost. Fuel has tripled, but yet airfare has remained statistically the same, for about 20 years. The airlines effectively cannot operate like a normal business, and just raise fares, but why? I understand the argument that it is a commodaty, but that isn't entirely true. I know plenty of people who only fly one airline, regardless of price, because it offers "better service", in their mind.
 
Take that, airline pricers and everyone with a PhD in economics. Surreal has solved the airlines' problems!!! Hurrah!!

Don't you think they would charge more if it would assure them a profit? Clearly it does not.

You're a character, that's for damn sure.

Nevertheless, I think that yes the airline pricers, and everyone with a PhD in finance or economics that works in the airline industry is failing at their jobs. These companies are businesses, and every business I know is not a net neutral business. They don't work to break just RIGHT at even every quarter or year.

If you're going to make a profit you MUST charge an appropriate fare for your services. Skywest Inc (as much as I hate to reference the company) has shown that if you charge a cost appropriate for what you're going to provide, and some (them selling their services contractually to the heavy lift providers) you might actually turn a damn profit.

Now, all the legacies (screw the LLCs. . .they can continue, and you can not compete with them if you are a legacy) need to do is just do the same to their customers. Charge them an appropriate fare, all the time, and turn a profit.

I know you economics and finance gurus want to make this more complicated, and I'm sure it's not just THAT simple. . .but it really is that simple.

So what if the customer gets pissed. They're still going buy a ticket that takes them from NYC-LAX, ATL-SEA, or the like. They have no other choice. Greyhound? Amtrak? Yeah, that'd be fun.

Hell, maybe if after these companies start turning a good profit they can then develop and upgrade the services they provide - so as to emphasis the fact that their service is worth the additional price to the consumer.

But hey C_F, I know you love the all mighty consumer, so great for you.

I on the other hand, I could care less about how they feel. If they end up getting pissed off cause they can not get $99 round trip across the country on Delta, United, American, US Airways, or Continental they can go and seek the mode of transportation that can provide them that cost.

Maybe it's because the answer isn't as simple as "raise prices"

May not be that simple, but it's certainly not that complicated. Raising prices, fares, to a certain level to offset the increased cost of the service provided will certainly help things move towards developing a profit.

If you'd like to discuss this, let's keep it professional.

It isn't? If you know it isn't, then you must know the answer.

So what is it, oh great one?

Now now, don't go name calling John.
 
But, they don't - and would rather chop the knees off of their labor force to try to save two cents. It's ridiculous.

Exception to that rule, however. SWA hasn't chopped the knees off of their labor force. They've been hit by hard times, and still manage to eek out a small profit while other airlines are losing their shirts. Why? Pro-active management would be my answer. Granted, they often DO lead the charge in fare hikes, and on many routes actually charge MORE than legacy airlines. Many people just automatically assume SWA has the lowest fare and go with them. That's a result of a good branding scheme. For years, SWA was almost always cheaper than the legacies. Now that the public has gotten used to that way of thinking, they've slowly suck their way up on fares. Yeah, they've still got "Fun Fares" on a lot of flights, but there aren't near as many seats available at those fares as there used to be.

SWA has gotten to where they are by utilizing smart management. Now, what happens when Herb AND Colleen are gone.....who knows.
 
SWA is a great operating airline, no doubt. You're right, they haven't chopped the knees of of their labor force because they haven't been put into a position that requires them to cut costs significantly.

SWA has never filed bankruptcy. The majors have, a number of times.

When times get tough, the companies look towards the fast way to save some pennies. Instead of making more pennies, they end up just cutting their workforce. Which does nothing for generating a profit. It cuts their costs, but it has never moved a company from negative numbers to positive numbers.

If you want to make more money, use your resources, and increase the cost of your product.
 
You're a character, that's for damn sure.

Nevertheless, I think that yes the airline pricers, and everyone with a PhD in finance or economics that works in the airline industry is failing at their jobs. These companies are businesses, and every business I know is not a net neutral business. They don't work to break just RIGHT at even every quarter or year.

I'll let my friends in the pricing biz know ;) Nobody in the entire pricing game is smart enough to figure out how to just raise their prices. Come on, you know that's foolish. There are a lot of smarter people out there, and I'm sure it's been tried. The only way to make profit is to cut cost (ala SWA) not to increase revenue.

If you're going to make a profit you MUST charge an appropriate fare for your services. Skywest Inc (as much as I hate to reference the company) has shown that if you charge a cost appropriate for what you're going to provide, and some (them selling their services contractually to the heavy lift providers) you might actually turn a damn profit.

Apples to oranges. Fee for departure is a lot different ballgame than having to do everything "at-risk"

Now, all the legacies (screw the LLCs. . .they can continue, and you can not compete with them if you are a legacy) need to do is just do the same to their customers. Charge them an appropriate fare, all the time, and turn a profit.

That's the whole point, you cannot compete with the LLCs, so legacies can't just up the price, because nobody will fly on them domestically.


I know you economics and finance gurus want to make this more complicated, and I'm sure it's not just THAT simple. . .but it really is that simple.

No, it's not. You even shot a hole through your own argument in the previous sentence.

So what if the customer gets pissed. They're still going buy a ticket that takes them from NYC-LAX, ATL-SEA, or the like. They have no other choice. Greyhound? Amtrak? Yeah, that'd be fun.

They do have a choice. NYC-LAX, I'll take Southwest out of Islip, or Jet Blue out of Kennedy. ATL-SEA? I'll take AirTran, Frontier, or SWA out of BHM. Why should I, the consumer, pay $50 more for a ticket on United when I get the same benefits as riding on Southwest? At least the folks on Southwest are in a cheery mood.

Hell, maybe if after these companies start turning a good profit they can then develop and upgrade the services they provide - so as to emphasis the fact that their service is worth the additional price to the consumer.

The whole point of this is that nobody cares. Nobody wants extras, unless the price is the same as the competitors. Even then, there are a ton of other things that determine booking. For example, when I book airline tickets, I book as follows:
1) Price [the cheaper the ticket, the more I can spend on my vacation]
2) Number of stops
3) Time of departure

I don't really care if I get fed. That's not their responsibility.

Besides, there's already an "upper class" alternative, NetJets. Airlines can't offer that sort of service. They're stuck in obsolescence between the new guys, LCCs and NetJets. You're asking them to pick a very thin demographic.

But hey C_F, I know you love the all mighty consumer, so great for you.

That's because I am a consumer, and so are you.

I on the other hand, I could care less about how they feel. If they end up getting pissed off cause they can not get $99 round trip across the country on Delta, United, American, US Airways, or Continental they can go and seek the mode of transportation that can provide them that cost.

They tried that in 2000, it worked out miserably. I know people who work and have worked as pricers. It's just not that simple. If anything, you need to cut your costs.

May not be that simple, but it's certainly not that complicated. Raising prices, fares, to a certain level to offset the increased cost of the service provided will certainly help things move towards developing a profit.

If you're company B and producing your widgets at Company A's price + 25, you cannot last. It's *that* simple. The only other way to do it is create some sort of faux idea of luxury, but again, that's NetJets (and that's real luxury).

If you'd like to discuss this, let's keep it professional.

As long as you respect the fact that the people who price are not simians. They are well educated and know a lot more about their job than you do. What you're doing is comparable to people saying "Well my uncle lives in Pittsburgh and it's not raining there!"
 
I just want everyone to know I am not an expert in the airline business.

Nor am I an expert in unions, contracts, or negotiations.

I am also not an expert in airline history.

Or to stay in my own lane, I am not an expert in part 135 freight.

I figure since everyone knows so much, I better chime in with my qualifications too. I just want to make sure no one listens to me in case I accidentally start talking about something I couldn't possibly know about.
 
I few months ago.. I dated an Amflight pilot that claimed she actually did strip down in the cockpit.. being alone and all.

I call the concept to question.. but it's a fun visual.

>shrugs<

You can really do whatever the heck you want when you're single pilot. Just ask Lloyd!
 
You're right Ford.

I have my thoughts on how an airline could return themselves to making profits. $1 here, $5 here, $10 here. . .along with a number of other steps.

I don't think it's THAT difficult.
 
I just want everyone to know I am not an expert in the airline business.

Nor am I an expert in unions, contracts, or negotiations.

I am also not an expert in airline history.

Or to stay in my own lane, I am not an expert in part 135 freight.

I figure since everyone knows so much, I better chime in with my qualifications too. I just want to make sure no one listens to me in case I accidentally start talking about something I couldn't possibly know about.

I'm in the same boat as you bud. Everytime I'm going to attempt to contribute to these discussions, I think I'll preface it by saying, "I know I'm only a freight pilot, but"....:)
 
I'm in the same boat as you bud. Everytime I'm going to attempt to contribute to these discussions, I think I'll preface it by saying, "I know I'm only a freight pilot, but"....:)
IF I ever get into airline flying anyone can feel free to beat me with a stick if I ever claim I know how an airline should be run.
 
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