So, terrain avoidance technology and flying in Southeast.
First, understand for the last 15+ years (I think installations started in 2002?) most of the commercial aircraft in Southeast Alaska have been running with the Chelton EFIS system installed by the FAA. It’s an early generation synthetic vision EFIS with moving map, WAAS GPS, and integrated TAWS. It’s still the best system I’ve flown for hand flying in marginal VFR in challenging terrain. In some ways the very latest Garmin gear may have finally eclipsed it but I haven’t flown that stuff. By the time I started flying in Alaska in 2012 use of that system was pretty well established. At least if you flew with guys like
@Capt. Chaos you didn’t get let loose on the line until you proved that if you really got into the stuff you could use the system to safely follow the waterways and intercept an instrument approach into one of a couple primary airports, and fly it to pretty close to ILS mins. If the weather was marginal, you treated it like an IFR flight. You programmed your route from takeoff to touchdown before taxiing out, and you flew that route the same as you’d done a million times on a good day because you knew it was a good route. If the weather closed in on you, rather than going lower and lower and closer and closer to the shoreline to keep visual, you went up and to the middle of the waterway and then determined whether a 180 back where you came from, or continuing straight ahead on your planned route would get you out of the stuff quicker.
Did this mean that people were launching in weather that they wouldn’t have with a 6 pack and a VOR receiver? Well, yeah, but it was still safer than being a good boy and trying to follow the beach. The other key to this was, you had to have your whole company, especially the maintenance department, treat the system like it was in an IFR airplane. That meant as soon as a glitch presented itself (like a GPS receiver showing signs of a weak internal battery, or a pitot-static system gremlin) it had to be fixed. Also, a lot of the newer aircraft that showed up got dual everything so any single LRU failure was a non-issue.
This is where some of the dominoes started to fall. As guys who were involved from the beginning started to move on, some of the new chief pilots and DOs had a philosophy of “these are VFR airplanes and so we don’t need to maintain all this equipment to IFR standards”. Also, everything from the individual LRUs to the wiring got older and needed more maintenance, at the same time as the Churn led to a brain drain of mechanics that knew the system from the days of its installation and how to troubleshoot its idiosyncrasies. Over time, these built a level of distrust in the ability to fly like we used to, which in turn meant that the skills for doing that in the collective pilot group atrophied and weren’t passed on to newer generations. People went back to following the beach and getting as low as they need to to be able to see.
Now it appears we’re in the end game, where a few operators have gone forward technologically with new Garmin stuff, but most are regressing and putting in at best an electronic attitude indicator and a tablet or a Garmin handheld. I’m sure all the old routes and waypoints designed with the purpose of keeping you safely over the waterways haven’t made their way forward into the new stuff, and whatever is out there is what individual pilots have thrown together. I sincerely doubt that the training still holds people to the same standard of demonstrating how to get to a safe harbor if the weather everywhere truly goes in the can.
Meanwhile the newer generations of management have an “abstinence only” approach to VFR into IMC, where people are afraid to discuss it and train on it because they’re afraid it will encourage people to bootleg, rather than recognizing that it’s going to happen to most people and they’re much better off if they’re properly prepared for it. While at the same time, these managers are pushing pilots even harder in the weather than we used to be.
there’s also a crisis of skilled personnel in this part of Alaska aviation. In my belief, COVID saved us from at least one fatal CFIT because many operators lined up a record breaking number of seasonal hires last summer, which was one of the rainiest on record. The last few years of crazy hiring of newbie pilots were in record breaking dry summers and so easy flying.