United — Dropping Regionals in Favor of Mainlines, May Lose Two Hubs

We have not built one new reservoir in this state in 65 years. Drought issues and no water anyone? They drained the GD huge Silverlake reservoir over a year ago to replace some pipes under it and it's still dry as a bone. Yet we have plenty of water from the LA river running off, uncaptured, into the sea. Bejebus. We get a new tax on gasoline each and every year which is supposed to go for fixing repairs the roads in this state. It goes into the general fund and is used for other issues and no roads are ever repaired, so the following year we get another tax. This has been going on for decades. He even imposed an extra fee on car registrations and still the freeways, highways, bridges and roads are in terrible disrepair.

Over 70% of the citizens here want the rail program killed and the monies spent where they could actually do some good for everyone. There's going to be a measure on our November ballot about this now finally.

We have a terrible homeless issue and not enough facilities to care and feed them and offer medical aid for them, help with addictions, job training and housing. But this jackass thinks some train that is going to cost ten times what was proposed and will be slower than flying or even driving at this point and is in the middle of fricking nowhere is the answer. A charity that we volunteer for, give food to and funds, run by a friend called Caterina's Club here in Anaheim feeds thousands of children living in motels and homeless children each and every day. How many kids has Brown given a meal to? Complete and utter idiots in our government are in charge of our lives and our money. Fools keep electing them. Meanwhile, the rest of us have to find workarounds, create inventions and contribute to and start programs that actually make a difference in the lives of the citizens of this country. Hapless politicians be damned.
So I take it you're ready for Gavin? ;)
 
Frick, I am ready just to ignore every GD candidate there is and continue to use our funds, our time and motivate others to use theirs to find solutions to help people and animals on whatever scale we can afford to and hope that more people will do the same, inspire other people and that it keeps building and gaining momentum. Screw the government. I am so over the continued b.s. of all politicians who only give a crap about them selves and their careers. Damn near none of them have any morals, values or courage left, they all lie and all they care about is themselves. We the people and for and by the people disappeared decades ago. The people have to do for themselves and for others in need. Period. Instead of wanting governmental intervention, you'll be far better off if the government just stays the hell outta the way.
 
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Not a pipe dream. It's happening already in select parts of the country.

At the cost of hundreds of billions in federal grants and local tax revenue.

As has been said repeatedly in this thread, there are small niche markets for high speed rail like the NE urbanized metro areas around DC and NYC. Outside that you literally have to force incentivize it to even make people get on trains (high road tolls, etc) much less turn a profit operating it.


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Pretty sure Trump sold that Mansion. ;) ...

The Trump Organization, LLC still owns Mar-a-Lago. The estate was built [1924-27] by heiress Marjorie Merriwether Post (Post Cereals, General Foods, later married to E.F. Hutton [#2 of 4] ). A modest little pied-a-terre of 126 rooms, 110,000 sq ft. The Donald bought it for $10 Mil in 1985, re-modeled it to include 58 bedrooms, 33 bathrooms, a 29-foot (8.8 m)-long pietra dura marble top dining table, 12 fireplaces, and three bomb shelters. One helluva fixer-upper! More additions since, and now also home to the Mar-a-Lago Club. Gross Revenues from the mouldy ol' pile last year: $27.9M. Hey, he's in the real estate biz.

He has a long history of suing to keep aircraft noise from bothering Mar-a-Lago coming & going from PBI. First suit settled (we'll try new patterns), Second dismissed, third had 4 of 6 claims thrown out but last two wrapped up in legal wrangling likely to continue past the Presidential Election. Among other claims: Officials pressuring the FAA to route aircraft over his place just to be malicious.

Vote early, vote often, or it'll become the southern White House, with more remodeling at taxpayer expense, and probably be sprayed a modest White. :eek2:
 
In another decade, perhaps sooner, the regional business as we know it is going to be a lot smaller. Which is why I pull my hair out over the 21 year olds that think they're going to retire at SkyBolt Airways d/b/a Mainline Express.

If this is true, what would be the entry level for the young guys or career changers like myself ? You have my attention Doug lol with that one.......im working 3 jobs to train out of pocket, retire from my current job in 2023.....being 44 at that time pretty much planned on a regional career....so yea, yikes. Assuming regionals are either largely reduced or non-existent....what options then for entry level ?
 
You mean like "Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to Ellsworth Air Force Base. The local time is 8:42. We should be arriving at base operations as soon as we clear the Security Police vehicles, and we're a tad unexpected, so we'll have to wait momentarily in the dearm area since B-1 bombers are currently occupying our designated parking spot. Your baggage should be arriving in Hangar B, where you will need to temporarily stand by, while buses arrive to take you to your actual destination of Rapid City." :)

To be fair, maybe the pilots didn't want to fly into a KRAP airport :D
 
Never been in to Rapid City, is it less than stellar? :)

Or is it just the ID, like overweight people who don't like to fly into KFAT?

I stopped in KRAP once. It smelled about as bad as you'd expect.

In all seriousness, it was fine but the FBO had T-shirts and mugs for sale that said "KRAP. Yes, that's really our identifier".
 
Couldn't one also say the same for US/AA's PHL vs NYC?

One could, but the ground travel inconvenience factor (distance, plus traffic, plus delays) between either JFK or LGA and PHL pretty much makes them non-duplicatory. There is enough traffic at each to support their separate existence. Combining them would lead to more delays, more slot assignment issues, etc.

If the same carrier hubbed in EWR and PHL then the case would be stronger. But I'm not holding my breath for UA to take over AA, or vice versa.
 
Let's not forget that to get the rail network we DO have, the government GAVE the land to the railroads.

That's right. GAVE. 150 years ago, there wasn't anyone around, and what land you didn't get granted you bought on cents for the acre.

What's the difference between now and then? People. Lots of them. 300 million plus.

This isn't the agrarian Podunk it used to be.

On a side note, when railroads abandon their land claims, funny stuff happens to the easements they had through private property. Railroads had easements through private property sometimes dating back over a century. Many railroads laid communications cable to support their operations along their tracks. When they abandon the lines, the RR's claims go poof. The problem is when the RR has leased or sold the communications lines to another party (often telecoms), because the land use was often tied to the use for railroad transportation. Now the new owner of the communications lines get a BIG bill from the land owner for an easement for the line. Don't want to pay? Say hello to Mr. Backhoe.

That aside, as a native Floridian, I wait in comic glee for the new train system, because hilarity will ensue.

When the Tri-Rail first opened (connecting Dade, Broward and PB Counties), it did so on FEC tracks, because CSX, the railroad that had track where, oh, I dunno, happened to actually be where people wanted to go (downtown, and along the US1 corridor), didn't want anything to do with it.

So this whole infrastructure (stations, parking, etc) had to be built up around the FEC tracks...and it still didn't get you to where you wanted to go. And it was single tracked. And FEC trains had priority over Tri-Rail trains...just what you want for time sensitive commuter trains. It took YEARS and a boat load of cash (and double tracking) to un-fuxxor that situation.

And now they're moving it back to the CSX tracks. Single tracked. Well done future planners of America!

My point is you cannot underestimate the land costs. In an urban environment, it is simply un-economical. It is a completely different situation from 100 years ago when the urban rail lines were dropped in the US and Europe.

Richman
 
One could, but the ground travel inconvenience factor (distance, plus traffic, plus delays) between either JFK or LGA and PHL pretty much makes them non-duplicatory. There is enough traffic at each to support their separate existence. Combining them would lead to more delays, more slot assignment issues, etc.

If the same carrier hubbed in EWR and PHL then the case would be stronger. But I'm not holding my breath for UA to take over AA, or vice versa.

What ground travel distance? I was saying eliminating either NYC or PHL as a base.
 
NYC-LHR was a huge O&D market that connected the world's financial centers but with Brexit it may change the dynamic a bit. Ideally I think AA would like to keep JFK as a hub but they don't have the gate space for all the feeder flights like Philly does.

I did hear some rumors that on the mainline side of things Philly might be downsizing a bit.
 
I think AA management has said both will stay because NYC is mostly O and D traffic while PHL is mainly a connecting hub. But I don't pay much attention.

All I will say is in recent mergers, never have ALL hubs stayed open. To do so is not realizing full synergies of the merger. Flights are combined, common grounds met, differences eliminated, and overlap killed. With proximity, bases get closed too. MEM was gone for NWA and ATL of course stayed. With AWA, LAS was gone and PHX became more of the fortress. With United, CLE was basically stamped out while growing the others. At the combined AA/US, you can bet some base will go.
 
All I will say is in recent mergers, never have ALL hubs stayed open. To do so is not realizing full synergies of the merger. Flights are combined, common grounds met, differences eliminated, and overlap killed. With proximity, bases get closed too. MEM was gone for NWA and ATL of course stayed. With AWA, LAS was gone and PHX became more of the fortress. With United, CLE was basically stamped out while growing the others. At the combined AA/US, you can bet some base will go.

Yea I get that. Just saying what has been told to employees. I don't really care either way.
 
What ground travel distance? I was saying eliminating either NYC or PHL as a base.

I was assuming that you expected a preponderance of the origination / destination traffic to shift to the new hub. I expect that those distances would kill a lot of it for the newly-single-hub carrier., and PAX would just use another carrier at the closest airport to them. Brand loyalty, schmoyalty.

You're right - connecting traffic shouldn't be affected. Except by the extra traffic at the surviving hub, since all of these hubs are running at or close to max capacity now. They could try larger aircraft, but that tends to lead to fewer daily flights and less-convenient departures.

You can shrink duplication, but if you shrink capacity below need, it will affect the bottom line sooner rather than later.

IMHO
 
Let's not forget that to get the rail network we DO have, the government GAVE the land to the railroads.

That's right. GAVE. 150 years ago, there wasn't anyone around, and what land you didn't get granted you bought on cents for the acre.

What's the difference between now and then? People. Lots of them. 300 million plus.

This isn't the agrarian Podunk it used to be.

On a side note, when railroads abandon their land claims, funny stuff happens to the easements they had through private property. Railroads had easements through private property sometimes dating back over a century. Many railroads laid communications cable to support their operations along their tracks. When they abandon the lines, the RR's claims go poof. The problem is when the RR has leased or sold the communications lines to another party (often telecoms), because the land use was often tied to the use for railroad transportation. Now the new owner of the communications lines get a BIG bill from the land owner for an easement for the line. Don't want to pay? Say hello to Mr. Backhoe.

That aside, as a native Floridian, I wait in comic glee for the new train system, because hilarity will ensue.

When the Tri-Rail first opened (connecting Dade, Broward and PB Counties), it did so on FEC tracks, because CSX, the railroad that had track where, oh, I dunno, happened to actually be where people wanted to go (downtown, and along the US1 corridor), didn't want anything to do with it.

So this whole infrastructure (stations, parking, etc) had to be built up around the FEC tracks...and it still didn't get you to where you wanted to go. And it was single tracked. And FEC trains had priority over Tri-Rail trains...just what you want for time sensitive commuter trains. It took YEARS and a boat load of cash (and double tracking) to un-fuxxor that situation.

And now they're moving it back to the CSX tracks. Single tracked. Well done future planners of America!

My point is you cannot underestimate the land costs. In an urban environment, it is simply un-economical. It is a completely different situation from 100 years ago when the urban rail lines were dropped in the US and Europe.

Richman
Ah the stories I could tell about this stuff. My better half works in the real estate side of CSX. I know more about the railroads than I ever imagined I would.
 
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