BoydGroup and 50 seat jets

[granlistillo]

http://www.aviationplanning.com/HotFlash.htm

Anyone heard of these guys? They talk a lot about the death of "50" seaters, and this guy sees it as a mathematical certainty. I have heard lots of talk, but I tend to follow the old adage of "believe nothing they say, but everything they do". Ever since COMAIR, and the recent rounds of consolidation I have to wonder. Who will be the last standing? Thoughts?

 

[SlumTodd_Millionaire]

Boyd is one of the most well known airline analysts in the business. I've found that people either love him or hate him, and there's just about equal numbers on both sides. Personally, I've always found his analysis to be pretty spot on.

 

[jtrain609]

The death of the 50 seater will come at the hands of the union, not management.

When scope is regained, the aircraft will be gone. While scoped out regional flying is alive and well, it will remain.

 

[BobDDuck]

Follow the money.

When ATA (now A4A) and what not were footing the bills he was talking about how the RJ was going to take over the world. Now that APA is paying him he's doom and gloom on the RJ.

I've always felt that Boyd was right about half the time.

 

[SlumTodd_Millionaire]

Boyd has been declaring the death of the 50-seat RJ for almost ten years now. This isn't anything new.

 

[B200 Hawk]

 

[granlistillo]

The death of the 50 seater will come at the hands of the union, not management.

When scope is regained, the aircraft will be gone. While scoped out regional flying is alive and well, it will remain.

I see your point. If 50 seat jets made economic sense and scope was retaken then would mainline fly them at a little higher payrate? I am guessing no. I appreciate the comments
as I am paying attention more as I creep up the list.

 

[JOEFRIDAY2]

In my opinion, fuel burn is going to kill the 50 seat jets.

Although no one knows what is going to happen, the only small jets that make economic sense in an airline environment today are the 90 seat jets.

My belief is that there will not be any scope given up by the mainline pilots.

So the only thing that does make sense is that mainline will be flying the 90 seat jets. I don't see another option.

Joe

 

[SmitteyB]

The death of the 50 seater will come at the hands of the union, not management.

When scope is regained, the aircraft will be gone. While scoped out regional flying is alive and well, it will remain.

We will never recapture scope.

 

[jtrain609]

We will never recapture scope.

If we want meaningful careers, we will have no choice but to recapture scope.

 

[Polar742]

If we want meaningful careers flying spam in a can, we will have no choice but to recapture scope.

There are differences in the industry. Sometimes a contingency route is a better option.

 

[Screaming_Emu]

There are differences in the industry. Sometimes a contingency route is a better option.

Are you talking about my backup plan as a stunt man in adult films?