You are all hired!

JOEFRIDAY2

Well-Known Member
If you are a commercial pilot and you are out of work now, chances are you will not be out of work much longer.

The reason for this is because of the proposed work rule changes that will guarantee airline pilots 9 hours of rest behind the hotel room door.

This is a major change in our industry and one that is long overdue. Under the current rules, airlines have been able to control an airline pilots life for up to 18 clock hours a day. They have done this in such a way that the pilots being tied up for 17-18 hours a day will swear under oath that they are working a maximum of 14 hours per day.

In order to understand how this has been permitted, you have to understand how the pay and duty times have been calculated at many airlines.

Pilots and flight attendants are usually paid only when the door is closed on the aircraft. Airlines have different ways of counting when the start and stop time begins. Some do it when the brake is released or engaged. Some do it when the passenger door is closed. Some do it when all doors are closed including passenger, service and cargo doors.

However, as you know pilots and flight attendants have to be at the airport 1 hour before the flight is scheduled for departure. This is time the company controls the flight crew, but does not pay them.

Pilots are usually onboard before any passengers are loaded as they go through pre-flight duties. Flight attendants must be onboard because they must load the passengers. Again, none of this time is paid and in many cases it does not count as part of the duty day. This time often comes out of the pilot and flight attendant rest time.

When the plane lands, it's the same thing all over again. The pay stops when the brake is engaged or the door is open. The duty day also stops when the brake is engaged or the door is open. Of course there are still things to shut down in the cockpit and there are still a plane load of passengers onboard. A flight crew is going to be tied up at least another 20 minutes getting the jet bridge pulled up, the passengers deplaned and the systems shut down. Under current rules, this time also comes out of the pilot and flight attendant rest time.

What ends up happening is that a crew can get scheduled for a 14 hour duty day and actually be tied up for 18 clock hours because of the way the schedules are put together.

For example, let's look at a 14 hour duty day with the first flight scheduled out at 6AM. The company would say that the crew will start at 6AM and end no later than 8PM. But that is simply not the case. First off, the crew has to be at the airport at 5AM (one hour before flight time). In order to be at the airport one hour before flight time, the crew would need to be on the crew bus at the hotel at least 30 minutes prior which would be 4:30 AM.

So this 14 hour duty day is already at 15.5 hours in the best case scenerio. The crew bus trip can run 45 minutes to an hour at some stations.

At the end of the day the crew pulls into the gate at sets the brake at 8:00 PM. In the best case scenerio they get all of the passengers off of the plane by 8:20. The crew then walks to the front of the airport to meet the crew bus. It will take at least 10 minutes to make that walk. At some airports it will take more than 10 minutes.
We are now at 16 hours since we got on the crew bus this morning at 4:30 AM.

We now have to wait for the crew bus. That will take anywhere from 5-20 minutes. By the time we get out of the airport it's 9:00 PM. We are now at 16.5 hours since we started this AM.

If we are on a short overnight, it might be a 30 minute ride to the hotel. We are now at 17 hours if everything has been ontime. If there is even a one hour delay it's now at 18 clock hours, that we have been under company control, and we are just getting to our hotel room.

Hopefully this explains where the 17 to 18 hours comes from. You can see from this schedule that flight crews are only getting 4-6 hours of sleep per night under the current rules.

So let's look at the proposed work rules and look at what is going to happen.

The new work rules require that pilots have 9 hours rest, "behind the hotel room door". Keep in mind that there is at least an hour on each end of this 9 hour rule to transport the pilots to and from the hotel. Anyway you add it up, there are 11 clock hours that the company will not control the flight crew.

There are still 24 hours in a day. If you take the 24 hours and you subtract the 11 clock hours then you are left with 13 hours which is the maximum duty day limit under the new rules. This is also the maximum number of clock hours that the company can control the pilots.

It you take the present clock time that a pilot can be tied up by the company (18 hours) and subtract the proposed time that the company will be able to control a pilot (13 hours) you should get a difference of 5 clock hours. If you divide 5 by 18 you will get 27.7% which we calculate is the best case scenerio if nothing goes wrong.

Therefore under the best case scenerio, it will take 27.7% more pilots and flight attendants to fly the same planes on the same routes with the same number of passengers.

Keep in mind that the number of flight hours are not increasing. This does not account for any growth. This does not account for any retirements or exits from the company.

At first glance it would appear that the airlines will spend a lot more money on pilots and flight attendants. That is not correct. While there will be a modest increase for benefits, etc., the hours that the new hires will be flying are taken from the current schedule and flight crews. So a pilot currently flying 90 hours will be cut down to 65-75 hours.

The maximum duty day will be 13 hours. Your quality of life will improve. You will get 8 hours of real rest and the industry will be safer.

There are currently 70,000 commerical airline pilots in the US. 20,000 work at the regionals and 50,000 work at the major and nationals. If you take 27% of 70,000 commerical pilots and calculate it out you will find that 18,900 additional pilots will be needed to fly the same routes with the same aircraft when the work rules go into effect on August 1, 2010.

Joe
 
One MAJOR problem with your math.

In the current example you allocate the time not on duty, but not at the hotel "company controlled".

In the proposed case you allocate that time as "not under company control".

We will use your 13 hours of duty number here. If you take the duty time as a percentage its now 3/16 NOT 5/18 which gives you a percentage of 18.75%.

So now that we have established that 27.7% is bunk "out of your ass" math, lets look at the scenarios that might require 18% more pilots.

That assumes that EVERY SINGLE duty period EVER flown at EVERY airline is 16 hours exactly. That does NOT happen, for one several airlines have contractual scheduled duty time caps at 15 or so hours. Now at that airline if EVERY SINGLE duty period was 15 hours you have an increase of 12.5%. Again not every single duty period flown at those airlines is scheduled for 15 hours.

Ok, so now real word example, For the entire month of December there are a total of 4 duty periods scheduled in excess of 13 hours for the EWR 757 base. Yes 4. To seperate then into now legal trips you have created enough flying for less than an extra half a pilot. This is out of 800 or so EWR 756 pilots. .5/800 is a whopping .06% more pilots.

yes, .06% more pilots using your logic, but with a real world flying schedule.
 
Ohh yeah!


kool-aidman.jpg
 
First things first - I'm not an airline pilot so some of my questions are probably uneducated. Bear with me and educate me if you will...

...

Pilots and flight attendants are usually paid only when the door is closed on the aircraft. Airlines have different ways of counting when the start and stop time begins. Some do it when the brake is released or engaged. Some do it when the passenger door is closed. Some do it when all doors are closed including passenger, service and cargo doors.

However, as you know pilots and flight attendants have to be at the airport 1 hour before the flight is scheduled for departure. This is time the company controls the flight crew, but does not pay them.

Pilots are usually onboard before any passengers are loaded as they go through pre-flight duties. Flight attendants must be onboard because they must load the passengers. Again, none of this time is paid and in many cases it does not count as part of the duty day. This time often comes out of the pilot and flight attendant rest time.

This confuses me. How can an airline require crew members to be at the airport one hour prior to flight, yet not include that one hour in the calculated duty day? I understand that they are not getting PAID for that hour, but I would think that if they are required to be someplace that that time would not be considered "rest", thus would be "duty".


When the plane lands, it's the same thing all over again. The pay stops when the brake is engaged or the door is open. The duty day also stops when the brake is engaged or the door is open. Of course there are still things to shut down in the cockpit and there are still a plane load of passengers onboard. A flight crew is going to be tied up at least another 20 minutes getting the jet bridge pulled up, the passengers deplaned and the systems shut down. Under current rules, this time also comes out of the pilot and flight attendant rest time.

There isn't any buffer at the end of a scheduled flight for these duties? As soon as the brake is set the crew is on "rest"?

There are still 24 hours in a day. If you take the 24 hours and you subtract the 11 clock hours then you are left with 13 hours which is the maximum duty day limit under the new rules. This is also the maximum number of clock hours that the company can control the pilots.

It you take the present clock time that a pilot can be tied up by the company (18 hours) and subtract the proposed time that the company will be able to control a pilot (13 hours) you should get a difference of 5 clock hours. If you divide 5 by 18 you will get 27.7% which we calculate is the best case scenerio if nothing goes wrong.

Therefore under the best case scenerio, it will take 27.7% more pilots and flight attendants to fly the same planes on the same routes with the same number of passengers.

What percentage of a typical pilot's schedule includes maximum length duty days, and what percentage of days are shorter?

edit to add: I started to write more, but realized I was operating under some assumptions, so maybe I'll have more after these first few questions are covered. Thanks!
 
This math looks nice, but doesn't take into account a very important thing: contracts.

New rest rule restrictions will only affect pilot groups who currently do not have contracts that meet or better the new rest rules. It will bring up the 'low end' of the industry, i.e., those working under bare legal FAR minimums. Some will see some changes and affects. Many majors won't see much change at all.

To the best of my knowledge, anyhow. That's assuming a lot of number crunching about all the different mainline contracts which I don't necessarily have.

Either way, to simply take the total number of pilots working for any kind of airline and assume the staffing requirements will affect them all equally is erroneous.

That said, it WILL increase the number of pilots required. Current hiring goals at my airline are based on three things: 1) flowthroughs to AA, 2) regular attrition 3) new staffing for the rest rule requirements.

Are a significant amount of the pilots to be hired due to the rest rule changes? Yes, I'm told.

Either way: the end product is this: The new rest rule requirements have created a small, new pressure on staffing and have induced a minor hiring wave that is just beginning. For the up-and-comers cringing in anticipation of the '1500 rule' taking affect in 2013, this is your gateway and your opportunity to meet the minimums at your desired employer and grab an opportunity.
 
My companys contract requires max scheduled of 14 hours.

Most of the other stuff is simply exaggerations, when you show your report time starts your duty time. Plus who leaves 30 mins prior to show? More like 10-15.

Oh and something like 80% of our overnights are 16 hours scheduled or more. And this is at a commuter flying on the east coast exclusively.
 
My companys contract requires max scheduled of 14 hours.

Most of the other stuff is simply exaggerations, when you show your report time starts your duty time. Plus who leaves 30 mins prior to show? More like 10-15.

Oh and something like 80% of our overnights are 16 hours scheduled or more. And this is at a commuter flying on the east coast exclusively.

My point exactly. The FTDT won't have as extreme an effect as JoeFriday was saying- but it will have an effect, and it has officially been cause for hiring at at least one company I know of.

80% of your overnights are 16 hrs+? Not bad! I wish our schedules built like that. Ours go from the ultra cushy 21 hours in Miami to the random 8.5 overnights in Smalltown, USA all over the map. Our contractual minimum rest period is 8.5 hours, and despite a lot of urging to steer clear of that, we still see an awful lot of it.

The other thing that hurts is our duty day length. Contractually, we time out at 14 hours, but when we're in Off-Schedule Operations (OSO) we can be extended to the full legal 16.
The Reserve crowd takes a real beating, too. Personally, I can't wait for more restrictive duty time regs.
 
If I'm not mistaken that must be counted as duty, or maybe I'm thinking about our contract as well. Anything over 15 mins I think must be counted as duty.
 
While I'm hoping for the best, the article sounds like it was written by the big airline pilot flight school marketing dept. Sorta something you might expect from a Riddle or an All ATP's type school. Don't believe the hype until it happens...
 
I agree, DE. Definitely reads like Kit Darby wrote it.

For me, there are far too many assumptions in it to take it seriously and I doubt it's accuracy at all. It does not consider all of the variables, nor does it consider increased block limits and less relief pilots in international ops.
 
Where I work, 135/91k if these rule hit us and they think they will, we were told about a 10% increase of staffing. I would assume that would be the same at the airlines, but is that 10% more reserve or lines?
 
All bunk. I'll believe it when I see it. And the end result may not be what everyone would like.
 
JoeFriday: You are off on so many things here that I can't even begin to address them. Your ideas of duty time are way off, to put it short.
There will be NO increase in pilot hiring due to this law. Did you have drinks with Kit Darby last night or something? Sorry Charlie, try again.

And by the way, our (XJT) contract rules are still stricter than these new FT/DT rules, so the only thing that will happen at XJT is the same number of pilots will be working more and getting paid less. (Less productive trips, Yay!) There will be NO additional hires needed at my company due to this.
 
All bunk. I'll believe it when I see it. And the end result may not be what everyone would like.

:yeahthat:

I can see a gradual increase in hiring because of rest rules and the 1500-hour rule, but I'm not expecting to see, nor would I really like to see (as much as I want to fly a Q400 or whatever), 250-hour wet commercials put in the right seat of RJs unless there's some seriously intensive training and screening involved. The time to learn to shoot an ILS to minimums is NOT with 50 paying folks in back.
 
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