Yes, obviously the Hog was not meant to excel in the A/A arena. That isn't to say that there isn't a realm where it could get a lucky shot.
The simple fact of the matter is, if YOU (pointy nose guy) attempt to fight the Hog on MY terms.......ie-drop down and dirty with me in the horizontal.......you will get killed. Simple as that. You have to fight me on YOUR terms, which is what the guys who were hawking the fight were doing.....they may not have had many advantages up there against me, but they certainly weren't giving up any advantages either. What those smart Eagle guys did that the Lt wingman didn't do, was not let either ego, overconfidence in his airframe, underconfidence in our airframe/pilot, or simply the desire to "mix it up" resulting in getting in over his head.....the smart Eagle guys let none of these (or combination thereof) force them to make a dumb decision. They lived, the Lt didn't...figuratively speaking. You come fight me on my terms (ie- low altitude, in the horizontal), and I'll take you one circle
or two circle, since I can likely out rate and out radius you all day. You could probably pull your way around to match some, however the g-loading you'll be under to do that vs what I'll be under will be very different. Of course, if you fight me on YOUR terms.....using your advantages in the vertical, then you've seriously handicapped me.....not to where I'm instantly dead, mind you, but you've taken away many of my advantages I previously had.......essentially keeping me on the defensive vs giving me any chance to go on the offensive; thus keeping me right where you want me.
AMG: Insofar as a "lucky shot", as you term it.......do not underestimate those from the attack community and what they can bring to an A/A fight. We may not do BVR, but if you're going to press to the merge with us, you better know what you're doing. Or you'll be making a nylon letdown at best, or no letdown at worst. As some old-school VA guys from the A-7 days.....they'll probably tell you. I'm sure there has to be some still around the VFA community. Point being, it's more than just luck, there's a good amount of skill involved in how we manage even our own always-limited energy in the dogfight arena.