For or against re-regulation?

I'm very much in favor of a return of regulation and the CAB.

The idea behind deregulation was not to help the pilots or the airlines. The idea was to give the general population access to airline travel, (something they did not really have due to high airfares) and to introduce competition into the marketplace. Both of these goals have been a achieved.

Those goals have not been achieved. An incredible number of markets have completely lost service since 1978. Markets like Toledo, OH, where 727s used to serve the community, now have no airline service whatsoever. For years, NWA was the only airline continuing to serve that market, finally with Saabs from Mesaba, but under a deregulated environment, it ended up being unsustainable, and service ended in 2002. That's just one example, but there are many others. How has deregulation worked out for the people in these markets? Most other markets outside of the largest metropolitan areas have lost quality in service, now only receiving RJs or turboprops rather than mainline aircraft with full service.

But, let's talk about deregulation's biggest goal: price competition. A complete and utter failure. Everyone likes to talk about the reduction in fares, but no one wants to look at when fares actually started falling. News-flash, folks: it was not after 1978. The biggest reduction in fares happened from 1962 to 1978, not after deregulation. Prices started to level off after deregulation. In addition, the difference between coach class and first class fares has actually increased. Under regulation of the CAB, first class seats sold for a maximum of only 130% more than coach seats. Now, the spread can be over 2,000%. Unless you're getting a free upgrade, then you're going to get raped for a first class seat. This is what has caused the exodus of business travelers to the fractionals, not airport security or other hassles, as some like to claim. It's a price issue. It's cheaper to get a Marquis NetJets card for your executives than it is to buy them first class tickets on the airlines.

Under the CAB, airlines had to bid on markets, and the CAB took into account not only cost, but reliability and quality of service. Airlines were forced to not only control costs, but to also provide a quality, reliable product. Markets that could not be flown for a profit received limited subsidies, ensuring that smaller markets still received quality air service.

Also if you re-regulate airlines you have government bureaucrats making decisions on which airlines succeed and which ones fail.

Absolutely false. The CAB never forced any companies out of business, and all airlines had their niches and thrived. Could you consolidate with another carrier and instantly become the world's biggest airline overnight? No, nor should you. The CAB provided competition by ensuring that each market had at least two carriers providing service, in most cases. The carriers all competed to win bids on routes. After the "Spoils Conference" became known way back in the early days, the CAB received plenty of oversight, and there was no favoritism.

It's also worth noting that a company like Southwest could not exist in a regulated environment.

Southwest did exist under a regulated market. It was a smaller regional carrier that served Texas markets and was quite popular in those cities. It was a choice by Herb Kelleher to not pursue other markets in other states, because he didn't want to deal with bidding through the CAB. I guarantee he would have had no problems getting awarded routes through the CAB in the late '70s if he had been interested in doing so.

Why is it that nobody seems to see the immense risk of regulating pilot pay and work rules under this scenario??

There's no reason to believe the regulation would involve any sort of limits on pilot pay and work rules. Regulation under the CAB never involved any such thing. To the contrary, the bidding system provided an incentive to control costs without outside controls.

Inviting the government in to decide who can do what, when, and for how much is a terrible idea for business, regardless of what that business is.

It worked wonderfully for our industry for 50 years. The 30 years since then have been a complete and utter disaster from the very beginning, and it's only getting worse.

This statement makes no sense particularly since you are the labor and not the one benefiting from the "free market". You are not management either. Reregulation= good for pilots. Deregulation = good for management. Notice how you're the only pilot here against being paid well, I just don't understand your mentality.

Give him a few years. He'll learn.

Have any of you who want regulation read history? I don't need to because I'm old enough to remember it. Look up how many pilot jobs there were, and then look at how many were for the major airlines. It might surprise you! It was a good deal for those few "in the club", but that was a small group, and there were many, many, outside looking in with nothing even close to regionals out there.

Two things, here. First, a job at a "regional" or "national" carrier under regulation was a damned good job. These included carriers such as North Central, Republic, and PSA. They were career jobs. So, even if you didn't go to a "major" under regulation, you still had a very good career, unlike now.

Second, the idea that the growth in airlines, and therefore growth in airline jobs, was due to deregulation is a fantasy. The GDP of this country has gone up by far more than double since deregulation. The passenger growth rate in that same period of time? Yep, just about identical. The growth of airlines in this country has been a result of overall economic growth, not deregulation. Put the charts side by side (both can be found with a google search). You'll see that RPMs have pretty much tracked perfectly with GDP growth. Deregulation didn't help airline growth. If anything, it stunted it.
 
Airline transportation is considered an essential public utility along the same lines as the power grid, city buses, interstate highways and sewage treatment. The fact of the matter is that the airlines have never been de-regulated. They were just differently-regulated. See: predatory competition and anti-trust.

If the airlines were truly deregulated then Delta could have dropped all of their fares to near zero on routes that competed with AirTran back in the late 90's and driven them out of business. Delta could have handled that easily because the rest of the network could have subsidized the low fares. But, that would have been considered predatory and Delta would have been fined. In an unregulated free market then that would be just fine. Same holds true for the deal in LGA that is going on right now.

The government has been picking winners and losers for a long time. The losers have predominantly been the legacies. Of course, if the industry was 100% deregulated then there would eventually be mass consolidation to the point that there would be one mega airline holding company in the country.
 
The fact of the matter is that the airlines have never been de-regulated.

The most intelligent post of this thread.

It's quite comical to see some of you make a case that the airlines are not regulated. Commercial aviation has one of the most complex regulatory environments in industry.

What this is really about is job security - plain and simple.
 
I would see any re-regulation that may come to be of benefit to the consumer, by forcing "fair and reasonable pricing," and of benefit to employees in terms of work rules, duty times, improving pay at the ENTRY level (though likely at the expense of pay at the end of the tunnel), and perhaps removing a good chunk of the labor union/ management circus. It would also almost certainly make for fewer jobs.

All things to consider if we ever get the choice.
 
Two things, here. First, a job at a "regional" or "national" carrier under regulation was a damned good job. These included carriers such as North Central, Republic, and PSA. They were career jobs. So, even if you didn't go to a "major" under regulation, you still had a very good career, unlike now.
.

I agree with every thing you said. Just want to add, and I bet Orange Anchor can attest to this, THE airline to work for in the mid-70's was a little carrier in Winston-Salem, NC called Piedmont. Another great "regional" airline at the time was Delta Air Lines. They really started to grow in the mid-70's. It was 1977 when they were awarded their first transatlantic route, ATL-LGW and, had just undergone a massive hiring wave from all of the growth.
 
, by forcing "fair and reasonable pricing,"

Possibly you're the kind of consumer that wants "fair and reasonable pricing'.

I for one, absolutely do not. If airline A can't attract me with prices and value then I will certainly award business to airline B. Furthermore, your "fair and reasonable pricing" concept would certainly promote operational mediocrity.
 
Possibly you're the kind of consumer that wants "fair and reasonable pricing'.

I for one, absolutely do not. If airline A can't attract me with prices and value then I will certainly award business to airline B. Furthermore, your "fair and reasonable pricing" concept would certainly promote operational mediocrity.

Completely agree. I don't want "fair and reasonable pricing," but the bulk of the American public, and elected officials do. I want to see companies compete by offering their own branded product which is different than the competition. I do my shopping on the value equation, and have no problem paying more for a better product or service. If Airline A gives me an incredible travel experience (on time, no hassles, good service, safe, etc) and costs 30% more than Airline B, which gives me a horrible experience, I will ALWAYS pick Airline A. Unfortunately, most Americans don't think this way, which is why Walmart has grown to the extent that it has, and why we have the American public making travel arrangements through various online booking sites, where people will agree to a 3 stop flight vs a non-stop flight to save $4.

It's also worth noting, that the current system does a great job of promoting "operational mediocrity" in this country. Hop a flight on an International airline (Cathay, British Airways, Air France, Singapore, JAL, etc) and then do the same flight on a Domestic carrier (Delta, United, American, etc) and tell me the difference.

There is no brand loyalty in our market whatsoever, because the consumer assumes (and fairly correctly) that there is no difference in the product offered by any of the airlines, so they just book with whoever is cheapest.
 
Those goals have not been achieved. An incredible number of markets have completely lost service since 1978. Markets like Toledo, OH, where 727s used to serve the community, now have no airline service whatsoever. For years, NWA was the only airline continuing to serve that market, finally with Saabs from Mesaba, but under a deregulated environment, it ended up being unsustainable, and service ended in 2002. That's just one example, but there are many others. How has deregulation worked out for the people in these markets? Most other markets outside of the largest metropolitan areas have lost quality in service, now only receiving RJs or turboprops rather than mainline aircraft with full service.

Red herring argument. In terms of population, a far greater percentage of the public has access than before dereg.

But, let's talk about deregulation's biggest goal: price competition. A complete and utter failure. Everyone likes to talk about the reduction in fares, but no one wants to look at when fares actually started falling. News-flash, folks: it was not after 1978. The biggest reduction in fares happened from 1962 to 1978, not after deregulation. Prices started to level off after deregulation. In addition, the difference between coach class and first class fares has actually increased. Under regulation of the CAB, first class seats sold for a maximum of only 130% more than coach seats. Now, the spread can be over 2,000%. Unless you're getting a free upgrade, then you're going to get raped for a first class seat. This is what has caused the exodus of business travelers to the fractionals, not airport security or other hassles, as some like to claim. It's a price issue. It's cheaper to get a Marquis NetJets card for your executives than it is to buy them first class tickets on the airlines.

Totally false, when you adjust for inflation it is not only a lot cheaper, it is now just a fraction! Look up the numbers, where do you come up with your "facts"?


It worked wonderfully for our industry for 50 years. The 30 years since then have been a complete and utter disaster from the very beginning, and it's only getting worse.

Based on what? What measure? Certainly not any that politicians care about!

Two things, here. First, a job at a "regional" or "national" carrier under regulation was a damned good job. These included carriers such as North Central, Republic, and PSA. They were career jobs. So, even if you didn't go to a "major" under regulation, you still had a very good career, unlike now.

Second, the idea that the growth in airlines, and therefore growth in airline jobs, was due to deregulation is a fantasy. The GDP of this country has gone up by far more than double since deregulation. The passenger growth rate in that same period of time? Yep, just about identical. The growth of airlines in this country has been a result of overall economic growth, not deregulation. Put the charts side by side (both can be found with a google search). You'll see that RPMs have pretty much tracked perfectly with GDP growth. Deregulation didn't help airline growth. If anything, it stunted it.

More false analogies. Even if you want to include all the "commuter airlines" and larger of the day, prior to dereg, my point that there were hardly any airline pilot jobs compared to now is STILL valid! Further, most of those didn't pay all that well.

Your attempt to rewrite history has failed!
 
Red herring argument. In terms of population, a far greater percentage of the public has access than before dereg.

Not a red herring at all. Over 100 markets have completely lost scheduled air service since 1978. Even Alfred Kahn, the father of deregulation, admits that figure. He justifies it by talking of the increased number of departures in the remaining markets. Now that is a red herring.

Totally false, when you adjust for inflation it is not only a lot cheaper, it is now just a fraction! Look up the numbers, where do you come up with your "facts"?

There are plenty of sources on the internets that you can search for. Even the proponents of deregulation only claim that real airfares are only about 18% lower than they would have been if deregulation had never happened. The real figures are probably less than 10%, if that. In many major hub markets, fares are actually higher than they would have been under regulation (again, that's admitted even by deregulation proponents).

More false analogies. Even if you want to include all the "commuter airlines" and larger of the day, prior to dereg, my point that there were hardly any airline pilot jobs compared to now is STILL valid! Further, most of those didn't pay all that well.

Simply incorrect. Because of lower productivity, there were actually more pilot jobs per block hour flown under regulation. All segments of the job market paid much higher than now, even the "commuters." You're still ignoring my point: jobs have grown because of overall economic growth, not because of deregulation. The jobs would have happened either way. You're just assuming that because there was deregulation, that must have been the cause of job growth, and there's no evidence for that. To the contrary, the growth of GDP is the far more likely explanation.

In other words, your argument is sort of like this:

800px-PiratesVsTemp_English.jpg


Your attempt to rewrite history has failed!

Perhaps in your own mind, but I think it's obvious to everyone here that simply yelling "red herring" and "you're wrong" isn't the way to win a debate.
 
One thing that scares me about re-regulation is the follow-on re-deregulation. I imagine a business growing up in a regulated environment would have a lot of adjusting to do in a deregulated environment, and vice-versa. Whatever rules we eventually pick, I hope at some point they have general persistence rather than make large swings back and forth.
 
Not a red herring at all. Over 100 markets have completely lost scheduled air service since 1978. Even Alfred Kahn, the father of deregulation, admits that figure. He justifies it by talking of the increased number of departures in the remaining markets. Now that is a red herring.

Wow, 100 small (and what is the average population of those cities?) have no service. I haven't even looked at the size of the cities, but I am guessing that the TOTAL population of those cities is less than the number of people that gained access. Anyway, as has been stated, EAS was not related to deregulation, which only impacted the SIZE of the aircraft utilized.

There are plenty of sources on the internets that you can search for. Even the proponents of deregulation only claim that real airfares are only about 18% lower than they would have been if deregulation had never happened. The real figures are probably less than 10%, if that. In many major hub markets, fares are actually higher than they would have been under regulation (again, that's admitted even by deregulation proponents).

I'm glad you now admit to the fact that airfares are less, which is DIRECTLY contrary to your previous post! Your argument that first class fares are higher is hardly relevant (even if true), but I guess you are upset because the wealthy have less chance to ride first class? I doubt you'll find that sentiment very popular with the masses.

Simply incorrect. Because of lower productivity, there were actually more pilot jobs per block hour flown under regulation. All segments of the job market paid much higher than now, even the "commuters." You're still ignoring my point: jobs have grown because of overall economic growth, not because of deregulation. The jobs would have happened either way. You're just assuming that because there was deregulation, that must have been the cause of job growth, and there's no evidence for that. To the contrary, the growth of GDP is the far more likely explanation.

In other words, your argument is sort of like this:

800px-PiratesVsTemp_English.jpg

Actually, that chart better reflects YOUR argument! Mine would rest more on the basic principles of Adam Smith!

So, what did the AVERAGE airline pilot earn in 1978? Do you know? It wasn't what people here are posting, I can tell you! Incidentally, the pilots of a few airlines ARE making $300k still. Did you know that?

Perhaps in your own mind, but I think it's obvious to everyone here that simply yelling "red herring" and "you're wrong" isn't the way to win a debate.

Yes, and it is also obvious to everyone here who has won this one! :D
 
Wow, 100 small (and what is the average population of those cities?) have no service. I haven't even looked at the size of the cities, but I am guessing that the TOTAL population of those cities is less than the number of people that gained access.

No one has gained access, there are merely more flights to the larger markets that were already served. This is part of the problem; you don't think those smaller markets deserve service, while I believe every market of a reasonable size deserves service, because the airlines should be viewed as public utilities, essential to the economy. They should not be viewed as just any other business.

I'm glad you now admit to the fact that airfares are less, which is DIRECTLY contrary to your previous post!

You seem to have a reading comprehension problem. I never stated that fares didn't fall, I stated that deregulation wasn't the cause, and I pointed out that the biggest drop in fares took place before deregulation, not after.

Actually, that chart better reflects YOUR argument! Mine would rest more on the basic principles of Adam Smith!

Not at all. My argument is based upon Occam's Razor: the simplest answer tends to be correct. When you see that overall economic growth has increased at exactly the same rate that RPMs have increased, what is the simplest answer? I think it's pretty clear.

Incidentally, the pilots of a few airlines ARE making $300k still.

Of course I'm aware of that, but I don't find it anything to be bragging about. Are you aware that, corrected for inflation, Continental pilots were making nearly that much as far back as 1940, when they were little more than a regional airline? Are you aware that, corrected for inflation, Pan Am captains could earn nearly $700k in '78? Are you aware that as recently as the '80s, 19-seat turboprop FOs could earn $30k first year? I can't believe someone is even trying to defend current compensation, or trying to claim that it used to be worse. We all know it to be false.

Yes, and it is also obvious to everyone here who has won this one! :D

I hate to break it to you, but you're clearly in the minority on this thread.
 
First off, there is no "proposed" re-regulation. It's just talk.


Hmmm. I do see your point, but I respectfully disagree. Pilot pay more than likely won't be a part of regulation IMO. And to say that it would be is a type of "pre-emptive strike" which I strongly agree with.
 
Not that this will make any sense to a union tool such as yourself but the air transportation system is not about the pilots. Sorry.

See, you can't go around calling anyone a "tool" in my living room. That's a clear violation of #1, #4 and #8.

Now if I gave you an infraction for disrespecting my rules, you'd probably glom on to the whole "Jetcareers is teh Devil" conspiracy group.

Now why in the world would you think you're exempt from following the few rules I have, the ones that 99.999% of the rest of the community abide by? Are you special?
 
I'm just curious because this is a classic example of the forum that I wish to NOT become.

Do I not communicate my expectations clearly enough?

Oh man, maybe I have my answer.
 
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