For the sake of IBT pilots everywhere, I certainly hope your buddy Dave doesn't have the same attitude about scope that you do.
Believe me, it didn't go unnoticed.
The opinion is shared by those who have been around since before scope existed. You never bet the bank on having anything that is iron clad. Decades of experience has proven that someone will come along with an angle to blow a hole in the plan. Therefore, while the language may seem bulletproof, you always plan for and anticipate that you will have problems.
Kinda like flying. Always stay ahead of the game.
Scope can and will be tested and violated. The determining factor is the level of desire of a management to do so. As long as they have deep financial pockets, they will hold the upper hand. Therefore a smart union leadership will always have a contingency plan. Part of that is figuring out a way to forge a good working relationship with management if possible. When they are convinced that their best interests are served by such a relationship, the chances of them looking for ways to violate scope are reduced.
All the chest thumping in the world by labor means nothing if they aren't willing to back it up. Many years ago, a UAL pilot asked a simple question of then ALPA President. He asked, "do you know why we elected you?" The president answered, "because I was the best qualified."
The UAL Captain replied, "No. We elected you to go to jail for us."
People can wax poetic all they want, but the reasoning was simple. If a union leader is unwilling to take a stand with more than just words, then management knows they have already won.
Tragically, management has figured this out with ATN, UAL and others. Call it Aer Lingus or SkyWest, it's the same thing. When they see a union violate employee agreements, fire employees and impose work rules on unionized employees, and then see no coordinated effort to stop the likes of AerLingus, they know that they can operate with impugnity.
Unfortunately for AirTran, they will find out that when they finally get a TA, the scope language will not be what everyone wants. The question will then be; are they willing (and will they convince ALPA) that it's worth striking over in a down market? Or will ALPA say, "live with it and pass the TA, this is costing us too much money."
Battles aren't won by believing your own press releases. They're won by having better intelligence on your opponent and anticipating his next move.