Single pilot airliners may be

What did I just say about two weeks ago and everybody was all "That'll never happen in our lifetimes/careers, EVER!"
 
What did I just say about two weeks ago and everybody was all "That'll never happen in our lifetimes/careers, EVER!"
That's like one of those old Popular Mechanics headlines where they proclaim that an idea is never going to happen then 10 years later it is going on in full force.
 
Why wouldn't it happen? Heck the drop in labor costs alone will be enough for management to pursue single pilot certified operations. Not a fan of it, but I can see it happening within the next 10-15 years.
 
The article is behind a pay-wall so I wasn't able to read it. I can think of a lot of reasons why single pilot operations in a large airliner are a bad idea. Some owner/pilots seem to be fine operating single pilot turbine aircraft, but the overall safety record is worse then with two pilots working as a crew. Studies have shown that most humans don't perform well when task saturated, imagine 200 people in the back IFR with an engine failure landing at minimums on a short runway.
 
Sooner or later, it will happen. It's almost possible today, in limited circumstances. Airplanes do land themselves. Drones work. Derg could bike to work in a drone bunker outside Vegas!

The first question is: at what cost? In crashes, when things go beyond the automation's envelope. In lives, both in the aircraft and on the ground? When do humans step in as an incident starts? Will they have enough practice to know what to do (do they always now?) Will society accept the limitations and consequences? Will ERAU start a law school?

In a way, this reminds me of the head of the US Patent Office in (I believe) the 1890s, who seriously recommended that the patent office be shut down. Why? he was asked. 'Because everything that could be invented, already had been.' he replied.
 
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